Well blow me down and call me Ethel, this humble corner of cyberspace has made Vanity Fair! Check out this article on that dude Allen Stanford(it's really quite good indeed), but here below is the excerpt that has the author Bryan Burrough mistakenly calling IKN "popular" (but why he thinks it's snarky round here is beyond me......). I'm glad to say that Alex Dalmady get far more mention (cos he's the guy that really deserves the laurels, in the end). Anyway, here's the text:
"...Dalmady found himself returning to the Stanford Web site. In the interim, the Madoff scandal had hit, and his curiosity soon turned to suspicion. “It became obvious,” Dalmady wrote. “No one was looking at stuff like this. The S.E.C. had its head up its butt. So I dug deeper and put some numbers on a spreadsheet—took me about 30 minutes. It just got worse. Where was the portfolio? What were they invested in? [Twenty percent plus] returns on their hedge funds? No way. Outperforming the S&P in stocks? No way. With 30 percent deposit growth [i.e., money constantly coming in]? No way.”
"Stanford Financial, Dalmady judged, had to be a fraud. He decided to write up his conclusions in an article and offered it to an old friend who edited a Venezuelan financial magazine called Veneconomy, which published it at the end of January. At first, the piece caused little stir. Titled “Duck Tales,” it was front-loaded with complex financial analysis; Stanford Financial wasn’t even mentioned until page 4. But on February 9, a financial blog called the Devil’s Excrement republished it, at which point it was picked up by a popular Latin-American blog, the snarky Inca Kola News. The Inca Kola item, in turn, immediately became the focus of intense interest.
“So far today,” a post on the blog read, “this humble blog has had several visits from major newswires, three visits from the US Federal Reserve and one from the SEC, all using [the terms] ‘Alex Dalmady,’ ‘Stanford,’ ‘Madoff’ etc as keyword entries. Not to mention all those people from an island called Antigua and plenty from a company called ‘Stanford Eagle’ in Houston. Hi guys, having a nice day?”
UPDATE: Regular reader 'Ward' wins with this comment left below:
Now that IKN has made it into mainstream media I'm expecting to see posts such as:
- Peru on track to meet GDP growth projections - South America needs US economic stimulus - Evo suspected of inciting separationist movement in Texas
My favourite type of blog, blogger or article comes when an expert in their corner of the world can explain tricky concepts in a way that most everybody can understand. It always reminds me of something that particle physicist Richard Feynman used to say about how it's perfectly possible to explain even the most difficult of concepts in his field to a class of freshmen. For the record, this is why I like and appreciate econobiz bloggers such as Brad Setser, Jurgen Schuldt, Felix Salmon, Yves Smith, Farid Matuk, Gary BiiWii, Paul Krugman and also why people like Tim do a great job on El Salvador, RG equally on Mexico, Plan Colombia & Beyond on its subject etc etc. All those people and many more gooduns are linked over there on the right.
Alex Dalmady (Quack!) shows today that, in my opinion and according to the same criteria, he's also a top blogger. Dalmady has written a post today that explains just how the internal structure of the Allen Stanford empire was set up, why the "tier 3" assets are so important and how much of a fraud Stanford really is. I really don't think this subject can be explained better than in Dalmady's post, as anyone with a modicum of financial knowledge and experience will 'get it' straight away. One of those things that, after you read it, makes you ask yourself "Why do people always make finance sound more complicated than it is?".
It's a wonderful piece of writing, edifying, entertaining and educational. Here's the link. Go read.
DALLAS (AP) -- Texas billionaire R. Allen Stanford and one of his top officials have asserted their Fifth Amendment right against self-incrimination in the federal government's fraud case against them and Stanford's companies, according to court documents filed Wednesday.
Stanford said he will "decline to testify, provide an accounting or produce any documents" related to the Securities and Exchange Commission's civil case, which accuses him of running a "massive Ponzi scheme."
Finance chief James M. Davis, using similar language, also asserted his right not to incriminate himself.
The documents were filed Wednesday in federal district court in Dallas, a day before a hearing in which the SEC is expected to make a case for an injunction yada yada continues here
In the days before the interwebnetpipes, human beings had this quaint method of news dissemination. Called "newspapers", they were printed out and sold to passing throngs on street corners.
Here are two clippings from one of those newspapers, scanned and put into the real world by a kind someone who then got them sent as far as IKN (by the way, credit will be given if requested...just not sure whether the person wants fame). Published by The Wall Street Journal and dating back to March 2002, it's a fascinating story about how Cur Allen Stanford used his financial muscle to bribe top Antigua politicians and strongarm his way to getting the best real estate on the island.
Numbers for "loans" to government include $5m, $40m and $65m, with a tendency for those loans to be "forgiven". Also, the main theme through the report is how the gov't suddenly turned hostile against the foreign owners of the Half Moon Hotel, a 100 room luxury hotel on Half Moon Bay that was once lodging space for the rich and famous. Put simply:
The hotel needed investment capital used on it
The Antigua government blocked moves for its then owners to import the necesary capital
The gov't then told its people that the hotel was in a disgraceful condition and would be expropriated
All this at the time that Stanford was saying how he'd like to take the hotel off the gov't's hands one day. But in an above-board manner of course..........
FWIW, the hotel was finally expropriated under these very dubious circumstances, something the US gov't recognized in 2007.
Finally, I've cut down on the resolution of the two clippings to make them lighter for the blog. You can still click to enlarge them but they are a bit difficult to clearly read. So if anyone wants the original hi-res versions just drop me a mail and I'll gladly supply.
There's a lot of speculation and chatter about possible connections between Cur Allen Stanford and the heady world of narcotrafficking this morning, but away from pure jawboning there is a solid and verifiable link between Stanford and the world of drugs.
However, it's...err...ahem...on the other side of the ....errr...coin. A guy called Tom Raffanello is (or perhaps was) head of the Stanford Financial Group security department. The thing is that once upon a time......errrr.....how can I put this?...hmmmmm....he was head of the Miami DEA! Yep, true, here's a link to Google returns that show our friend Tom was a DEA guy way back then.
Now, of course, we all know that the Miami DEA fight drugs to man and never take bribes and don't have the slightest suspicion of wrongdoing in their illustrious and squeaky-clean history.
Alex Dalmady has got his blog back up and running after yesterday's glitchy moment, which is wholly good news. Here's the link, so go now.
Meanwhile, a thought about James Donaldson, who got an airing with his rather emotional but also cherrypickingly well-informed rebuttal post of yesterday right here on this link. When I saw "James" come back again and post exactly the same comment on another IKN Stanford post I thought it was a little strange, so using sitemeter I tracked his ISP, and lo and behold he was writing from Memphis, Tennessee. I read today that the offices where Stanford's CFO James Davis worked (and that were raided today by the SEC) are also in Memphis. Also, I checked and filtered and crossed-filed and did all sorts on Google for about half an hour but I couldn't pin a James Donaldson with any connection (and I'm usually quite good at the Googling thing, too). Now I know that the home of Elvis music is a big town, but I can't help wondering. Can't help thinking about the coincidence of the "JD" initials, as well....
Finally, check out the latest at Devil's Excrement, as it shows just how mercenary the Stanford deposit collecting machine really was in Venezuela and gives one pause for thought. According to MO, it's the middle class sector that's going to be hit hardest, not some ultra-rich that might lose 10% of their net worth. The anger will come, unfortunately.
A commenter has just left a longish note on one of the IKN posts regarding Stanford. Usually I reject anonymous comments but let's make an exception this time as the writer has some interesting points. I'm also devoting this post to his/her words. Here's the comment below and following that you can find a paste of the companies covered by the Stanford analysts. Take a look and make your own informed decision.
Just as a personal extra, I warn all again to keep well clear of the Colombian Stock Exchange, as Stanford was the fourth largest player by volumes traded there in 2008.
The Comment Recently Received by an Unknown Reader
Now that the SEC has filed charges, the next question people will want answered is where did all of the money go. There's been some investigation into Stanford's role in penny stock investing, but I haven't seen anyone take a look at the companies that their "analysts" were covering.
A quick glance at some of the companies listed on their website reveal a large number of microcap stocks who've exhibited pump and dump behavior include spam campaigns around the time that Stanford initiated coverage.
If you take a look at the background of some of their "analysts" it also raises questions about the character of their employees. Their media analyst Frederick Moran for example began his career at Drexel Burnam (a known chop shop), was previous accused of sharing inside information with his father while working as an analyst at Saloman brothers and participated personally in a failed microcap company (VDC Communications) that was owned by his father and his brother Clay (who also happens to work at Stanford Research). A closer look at some of the other analysts will raise similar concerns as well as even more questionable buy ratings on companies that most financial savvy investors would know to steer clear of.
If Stanford was using proceeds from the CDs to manipulate penny stocks, then this could end up being an important piece of the puzzle. It would also go a long way towards explaining how they could have given such poor investment advice on what appear to be obvious scams.
The ECB (guys in blazers that run cricket) has just broken off talks with Cur Allen Stanford over a new sponsorship deal. Apparently it just is not the right thing to do business with cads and bounders.
Felix Salmon has done a nice overview of the SEC complaint with a list of salient points. He calls it "quite astonishing" and after reading it through carefully your humble correspondent has to agree. Go take a look a Salmon's post and while you're there give him the kudos he deserves in the comment boxes. He was the only high traffic blogger with the balls to run with this, he chided MSM all week about being so wishy-washy and he got the story out there and noticed by the larger world. While you're reading Salmon, read the full SEC complaint which you can download right here.
Duck Tales, the excellent report that started all this ball rolling, can be found right here, so go download it now and read a piece of financial history. The SEC moves today would not have happened, repeat would NOT have happened without the initial momentum caused by this brave and insightful report. Alex Dalmady is the unsung (so far) hero of the hour. May his star rise in the firmament.
The Devil's Excrement deserves special mention, as blog owner MO made the Duck Tales report available and wrote an impressive post that allowed Dalmady's note to finally catch the attention of the wider world.
The power of quality econoblogging has been definitively vindicated.
Alex Dalmady's blog is no more. I was given a headsup by a reader that "the link don't work ottodude" last night and mailed Dalmady to tell him. He replied that he thinks he was hacked, there were pop-ups coming up on site so he killed the blog rather than go through a house of cyberpain. Fair enough...I hope he finds another outlet.
Meanwhile, if you combine this WSJ report about depositors arriving in Antigua to get their money out ASAP with this BusinessWeek report that includes this passage:
"..Sources say there's confusion about whether Stanford Financial is honoring early redemptions. The firm is apparently granting early redemptions for some Latin American customers, but denying similar requests from U.S. clients..."
Then add a comment made by BigAl over at the clusterstock string following this story. He said that the contracts for US depositors were more stringent and included the two month delay as part of the deal. However LatAm depositors don't have that clause to worry about. The upshot is that if the Latinos form an orderly queue in the next eight weeks or so, by the time the US depositors get the chance there might...MIGHT...not be any money left for them! ¡Viva el mercado libre!
If you play the Colombian Stock Market, you'd be very wise to make like a shepherd and get the flock out of there. Stanford is the 4th biggest player of that market according to BVC data. Some 90% of the moneyflow in the Colombian exchange is through bonds. Just sayin', ok?
Finally, Antiguan regulators trusting and naïve? Surely not! Here's a quote to remember from Reuters via Forbes(all the newsnames getting in on the act now):
"Unless we were duped, I don't think it is (a Madoff-like scenario)"
The silly lamenting over the imminent demise of Venezuela's economy (pointed out this morning by your humble correspondent) has become so obvious that even a numbers zero such as borev has noticed a pattern. Luckily he's better at writing and things than Otto, so it's well worth clicking this link.
Meanwhile, guess what The USA's greatest friend and regional ally Alvaro Uribe said about Hugo's victory? Ready for a diatribe of criticism and fears for the future of Venezuela? Here's English language daily Colombia Reports with the quote: "I will respond positively with a feeling of brotherhood with the Venezuelan people and I want to publicly congratulate President Chávez for the democratic victory and the Venezuelan people for participating in a referendum." Explain that to Andres Oppenheimer, confusedgringoperson.
Now, what would a tiny, smelly (and recurring) little piece of horrid rumour about Kinross (KGC) and Russia heard by yours truly last week have to do with this note by Mish today? Something to do with the country running out of money? I dunno how all this fits together.........
I like it when someone tells the Wall St. Journal to go kiss their collective asses. It's even better when the teller can point out the factual errors made by the WSJ on its front page. Alex Dalmady has had a productive day one as a blogger, glad to say.
Chile's copper export revenues dropped 58%(fifty-eight percent!) YoY in January, which is a main ingredient in Chilean suits saying the country will grow by just 1.4% in FY09. But this drop in copper prices apparently won't affect world's number two producer Peru, as President Twobreakfasts today said it would grow 5.5% GDP in 2009. Peru's December growth was 4.9%. Nuff said.
Yes indeed, the author of 'Duck Tales', experienced analyst, banking whistleblower extraordinaire and some time guest blogger on IKN and Devil's Excrement has taken the plunge and started his very own blog. This is good news for people who want a one-stop place to keep informed about all things Stanford International Bank, Cur Allen, bank redemptions etc.
On Stanford International: Check out this post but especially the comments thread over at Clusterstock. Three CS readers whipping up a storm and digging up all sorts of stuff on Cur Allen Stanford and his shaky empire. Gotta love the premises of his accountants! I posted at the end asking if they'd like to write some of this more formally, buy hey...no need...just check it out from here. Felix Salmon isn't letting go either and makes some salient points. Good stuff. And...errrrr....the story is now the front page of the Wall Street Journal. Go to this link to get round the subscription thingy on WSJ and you'll note that the WSJ is (so far at least) only making more widely known the things that blogs have noted since Feb 9th. Just sayin'..........
GUEST BLOG GUEST BLOG GUEST BLOG GUEST BLOG GUEST BLOG GUEST BLOG GUEST
Yes indeedy, the guy who started all the fuss has kindly allowed IKN (along with The Devil's Excrementand also here at the Devil's ExcrementWordpress version) to publish his thoughts on how the Stanford International Bank story has developed over the past week. So enough from me; here's Alex Dalmady on SIB, Allen Stanford, regulators, media and all things concerned.
It’s over. Regulatory bodies have caught on. WSJ just announced that the FBI is investigating. “Duck Tales” is in the hands of dozens of analysts who “get it”, including many with ties to the MSMs (that’s Mainstream Media for you, Toby LOL). The press is flowing more freely. The MSMs have sent guys to Antigua. It’s big. They “get” it. THE EMPEROR HAS NO CLOTHES. Stanford has no answer. “Sir Allen” has been silent since over three days ago, as that spokesman who was beginning to look a lot like Jim Carrey at the beginning of “Fun with Dick and Jane”.
Hope he gets even like Carrey did.
The Antiguan regulators are on it. They made a complete “about face” on Friday, going from “not probing Stanford” to “to quiz Stanford” and “its not a Friday afternoon cocktail anymore”. It’s obvious that someone told them to “wake up and smell the guavaberry”.
They are still in denial, however. A Mr. King says “I know Allen Stanford personally put close to half a billion dollars of his own money to beef up the capital structure of the bank.” Did you see the check, Mr. King?
NO ONE and I mean NO ONE has disputed the facts in my article. The central issue of Show me the money! has not been addressed by Stanford or anyone else. Some MSMs have asked me how I got to my figures and I’ve sent them my dinky little spreadsheet. No questions. Maybe I should pretty it up a bit.
Now comes the ugly part. The Antiguan regulators with perhaps some special “help” are going to go see about those assets. I hope for the best, but I’m afraid for the worst. There may not be much there. If there’s a broker statement showing $2-3 billion in T-bills somewhere, you can be sure it’s false. Better confirm that with the brokerage company, guys. My best guess is that those assets are going to be stuff like eLandia, which Stanford poured like $100 million into, only to lose it. HSSO, which was trying to become “something” by buying EMAG, Transwitch (TXCC), which some guy named “Peabody” on the BW blog turned up. Seems that Stanford, grasping for cash, sold $15 million of short-term notes back to the company for $9.5 million back in December. Talk about “liquidity crunch” (it works to about a very high yield, for those mathematically challenged). I guess then there are the movies, the restaurant in Memphis and other “market-beating” investments.
I can imagine the ledger now…one coffee pot: $50,000.00, one helicopter: $500,000,000…one corrupt politician: priceless!
The human part is going to hit home really quick. I already had a taste, and my blood is boiling. I’m MAD and I’m SAD. Yesterday, I get a call on my home phone from a lady in Venezuela. She was desperate. She tells me her 99-year-old aunt’s money, the income from which she uses for her medical needs, is in a Stanford CD. “Can you help me, Mr. Dalmady?” What do you say? “Should I redeem, Mr. Dalmady” Yes, “redeem” I said…broke my heart.
It’s becoming painfully obvious that this was in a death spiral anyway and the story was going to blow really soon. Matt Goldstein had plenty of research he was ready to go forward with, as was Allison Fitzgerald at Bloomberg. They were googling for Stanford regularly when my stuff came up. More stuff will come forward anyway. I’d say if not for “Duck Tales” this had maybe a week or two more to go, before it blew itself up (ran out of money) or the press blew it up.
That’s really bad if you think about it. Ponzi schemes live off liquidity. If these guys are strapped for cash, after pulling in $2 billion in fresh money in 2008 and “injecting fresh capital” in December…well.
It’s obvious that this isn’t just a product of the 2008 market crash, stuff has been going on for a while. If I had to guess, I’d say this might have been legit until 2000 or at least a “viable model”, since the markets were doing well, but somewhere back it took a bad turn and a little hole grew into a crater. They were filling it in and perhaps trying to build up a business on the side (Stanford Group?). But its just speculation here and we won’t know unless an insider talks.
So…there it is. It’s my 15 minutes. Thanks for lending me your blog (I really should get my own).
Matthew Goldstein at BusinessWeek has got his teeth into the Stanford International Bank story now and he's not letting go. As well as giving deserved props to the instigator of the investigation in this note, Goldstein has just published this excellent report that shows even more shady details emerging. It's a must read, especially about the "whistleblower lawsuit" that was settled by Stanford just before going to trial in late 2007. However the part that caught my eye was early on in the story. Here it is:
"For months now, securities regulators have interviewed dozens of former employees of Stanford Financial, trying to get to the bottom of the firm's staple investment product..."
Why do I like this little line? Well, basically because it's bullshit. The SEC had done a bit of looking around but hadn't moved on Stanford in any way. Then suddenly the Madoff affair hits and people are shouting "where was the SEC?" and now they're suddenly in danger of being upstaged by a single (albeit very smart) individual who had the guts to go public on this story which then combined with the collective power of the blogosphere (like it or not, suckaz..we're here to stay and showing the way).
So in that little quote we see the first chapter of "The SEC Get Out Clause". We're going to be told how the SEC had been carefully collecting its data over the last few months and how they were building a case and how it was only a matter of time before yada yada blah blah. Well, if their bruised egos need it that's ok by me because it's now pointing to something far more important to the greater good, namely that the SEC are going after Stanford right here and right now. And frankly I don't care how this ends and what spin is used by the guys in suits as long as justice is done.
A last word: The MSM and "serious" business publications are all over this story. Reuters has a crack guy on the scene in Antigua. Bloomberg, DJNW, WSJ, NYT, FT, all the UK dailies (to cover the cricket angle) and there are plenty of names missing from that roster for sure. The major biz media are moving and shaking. This is all good and the more we hear from the established outlets the better. Also note the scramble between bullshit analysts, bankers and financial advisors in New York, Miami, Antigua, Houston Caracas and all points between is now on to get a place in the sun and a quote on the news saying, "Yeah, well I knew there was something wrong at Stanford years ago blah blah....." like the bunch of hangers-on they were, they are and they always will be.
And so it goes. Because of all that and more this will probably be my last post on the issue, but remember where you saw it first, yeah? And whoever says whatever in the days and weeks to come, be absolutely clear that the whole thing has happened because of the momentum produced by a quality report written by a smart, independent analyst named Alex Dalmady.
".............As Dalmady dug deeper, he found lots of problems with Stanford's products, documented them in a report called "Duck Tales" (if it looks like a duck, walks like a duck, and quacks like a duck...), then uploaded that report to the 'net for public consumption. Dalmady published the report in a Venezuelan econo-mag, but noticed that his work on Stanford only "really exploded once it hit the blogs. Miguel Octavio's The Devil's Excrement [at Salon.com] took up the story on Monday the 9th, as did Caracas Gringo."
Salon's Octavio noted at the time: "For many years, I have been hearing stories about SIB. When most banks paid 3% in deposits, SIB paid 6-8%. No amount of digging or understanding would clarify what it was they were doing, much like Madoff did in the US, where he managed to trap some very smart people."
Latin American blog Inca Kola News carried the torch further on Tuesday: "I really stopped what I was doing and pulled the Stanford filings...and looked again. The fact that the bank has missed two relatively small recent payments while supposedly boasting a large liquid asset base is rather strange..."
Allen Stanford looking cool, calm and relaxed. A photograph that was not taken this week.
Over at Devil's Excrement there are two new posts up and both are required reading for all you people looking into the Allen Stanford / Stanford International Bank story (and that's a heap of you by the looks of my Google search hits).
1. This story by DiabloCaca himself that gives a pretty accurate timeline of how the story has gone from bubbling under in the Venezuelan blogosphere to hitting the world business (and sport for that matter) headines. M.O. is even kind enough to link this humble corner of cyberspace (and I hear ya MO on the H man).
2. Alex Dalmady, author of the report Duck Tales that is at the centre of the whole media turmoil, has written a post too. This is an unmissable post that shows how Alex stumbled upon the SIB story and how it moved from the Venezuelan inside biz circle to where it is today. And sincere thanks for writing a kind word about IKN, Alex. Appreciated. Finally, there's this: An extensive December 2008 interview with Allen Stanford in World Finance Magazine. Stanford is named "World Finance Man of the Year". The interview starts on page 32. Well worth a read.
Here's Felix Salmon keeping the wider world up to date with the latest down here. Excellent to see a big traffic blog caring about this story. Be sure to check out the comment underneath Salmon's post written by "anonymous" (one of the reasons I don't like that name appearing here).
Feb. 12 (Bloomberg) -- Stanford Group Co., a Houston-based investment firm led by billionaire R. Allen Stanford, is under investigation by U.S. securities regulators over sales of certificates of deposit in its affiliated offshore bank and the consistent, above-average returns those investments pay.
Investigators from the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority visited six Stanford Group offices last month, downloaded information from computer hard drives and looked through files, people familiar with the events said. Two former Stanford financial advisers were questioned last month by the Securities and Exchange Commission, according to the people, who declined to be identified because they yada yada continues here UPDATE:BusinessWeek in on the act here, and the London FT via Alphaville here