Wednesday, September 30, 2009

Problem 362. Circle, Chord, Perpendicular, Equal chords

Proposed Problem
Click the figure below to see the complete problem 362 about Circle, Chord, Perpendicular, Equal chords.

 Problem 362. Circle, Chord, Perpendicular, Equal chords.
See more:
Complete Problem 362
Level: High School, SAT Prep, College geometry

Problem 361: Right triangle, Incircle, Incenter, Tangency points, Angle

Proposed Problem
Click the figure below to see the complete problem 361 about Right triangle, Incircle, Incenter, Tangency points, Angle.

 Problem 361. Right triangle, Incircle, Incenter, Tangency points, Angle.
See more:
Complete Problem 361
Level: High School, SAT Prep, College geometry

Trading Post (Joachimsthal edition)


The valley of Joachim, Joachimsthal, is a place now located in the Czech Republic. In the 15th century, very high grade silver veins were discovered there. The mines were run by the Count of Slik and the coin minted there was named after the location and called the Joachimsthaler, later popularly shortened to simply 'Thaler'. The Thaler quickly gained a reputation as an uncorrupted and reliable coin and became popular all over Europe. Its name was linguistically corrupted by some country languages. In Denmark, for example, it was known as the 'Daler'. With the discovery and population of the New World, the name of Europe's most reliable coinage was adopted for its new money. It's still around today, we call it the "dollar" and it's the one and only driver of the metals market today, September 30th 2009. Follow the USD index today, folks, cos the rest is just noise.



Troy Resources (TRY.to) up 5.2%
at C$2.02. The rot stopped overnight in Oz and the Canadian listing is following its leader today. Volumes lowish.

Colossus Minerals (CSI.to) up 21.3% at $5.87. Welcome to the world of the junior miners, CSI.to newbies, enjoy the religious experiences on offer in the weeks to come. Contrary to rumour, CSI.to does not have a new bizplan of "drill every 5cm and extract the total orebody via drillcores". Avoid like the plague.

Dia Bras (DIB.v) down 2.1% at $0.235 but has made great strides in the last week or so. The newsflow is coming thick and fast, a sure sign of insiders safely installed and where they want to be. I own and I'm a mile up already, so DYODD, dude.

TheNewCrystallex (EC.v) down 1.1% at $0.47. Still no permit? LOL! Joke stock run by bullshitters for idiot dreamers only.

Crown Point Ventures (CWV.v) down 12.7% at $0.55. I was asked yesterday why I wasn't crowing on this stock, as we picked it here at 35c and then later in the low 40s. The reason is the bid/ask spread, cos even with nearly 200k traded today the bid is at 55c and the ask at 60c...not exactly liquid. I own a few (not many, just a few) and I'm aiming for loonie on the crapshoot. DYODD.

Comparing Silvers

We did a section similar to this post (though more focussed and less snarky) in The IKN Weekly, issue 22 last weekend.
click to enlarge

Check out this chart which shows how Fortuna Silver (FVI.v), Great Panther (GPR.to) and ECU Silver (ECU.to) have performed against silver the metal, as tracked by the Ag bullion ETF, SLV. What we can see is:
  • Silver has risen by 18% in the period on its positive run. All good.
  • Fortuna Silver has risen by 54% as the quality of this company begins to shine through.
  • Great Panther lagged for a while, then shot forward when silver-the-metal reached a critical point. Then at $17/oz and above GPR.to caught up and even overtook FVI for a while. This is because GPR.to has a marginal, high cash cost operation that only makes a decent profit when silver prices are high. When silver dropped back to $16/oz, traders found out the flipside to that strong leverage. The Lord giveth, and the Lord taketh away. Meanwhile, due to its low cash cost Fortuna makes money at all silver prices.
  • ECU Silver is a total waste of time and is best left to those influenced by BS pump tactics and shillers.

Moral of the story: First identify quality, then buy it. Then hold it. When it comes tp the world of small silver producers, there's none better than FVI.v. If you want to roll da bones on a high cash coster like GPR.to, well good luck to you. You won't find me screaming at you not to do it, but you won't find me as company, either. I like investing my money, not gambling with it. As for ECU.to, if you're long it's way past the time you admitted to yourself you were wrong. Or if you like, hold through and stay in investment kindergarten. Your money, your life, your call.

Presidential approval ratings in Latin America

A big thank you to Tim's El Salvador blog for the image below. Quite simply, Tim runs the best English language blog about El Salvador out there and does a high class job. Visit early and often and get wise to the country.

(click to enlarge and for better focus)

The chart is taken from the nice people over at Mitofsky, who put together these poll-of-polls every couple of months or so. The columns show the country and President, the month of the last poll (either August or September) the numbers of months s/he has been in office and the approval rating.
  • In the dark green "we totally rule" category, Funes in El Salvador and Martinelli of Panama are enjoying their honeymoon periods right now. Lula, 'Chelle and the little guy with glasses in Colombia are all as popular as ever.
  • In the light green "we're popular" category comes Calderón, Vasquez and Evo.
  • The yellow-shaded "look we're still ok here but we gotta watch out" category come some guy with a foxy wife, Studmuffin, Rasputin and Colom (who's managed to shake off the murder accusations in the last few days, too).
  • Bringing up the rear come the guy who EpicFailed in the negotiations with the coupmonger fascists of Honduras, Twobreakfasts and Klishtina. She was a dead duck Prez in month four or so...nothing has changed.

You'll note that Hugo isn't on the list. He polled 58% last time round, according to the pretty reliable Datanalisis polling firm.

Rusoro Mining (RML.v): Brent Cook shows his integrity

Last Friday evening, Brent Cook of Exploration Insights was the guest for the whole hour on BNN's Market Call evening show. I featured the re-run video in this post on Saturday as essential viewing for mineheads and a lot of you clicked through (if you haven't seen it yet, go have a look...you'll learn loads).

However I got a lot of feedback on the part where Cook commented on Rusoro Mining (RML.v) as he said the company was connected with Russian mafia. Well I laughed about it over my Saturday coffee and then mailed Brent Cook to say that I think he got that one wrong. From what I hear, other people with greater gravitas than I also thought it was a bit heavy. So it was impressive to see Brent Cook stand up yesterday and say "hey guys, I was wrong". In a world of overstuffed egos, kudos is again deserved by Cook for having the fortitude to admit his mistake publicly. I've been given permission to reproduce the extract from his letter to clients yesterday and here it is.

Before moving on to this week’s belated letter I need to rectify a statement I made on Friday’s BNN Market Call Tonight show regarding Rusoro Mining (RML.TSX)

To the best of my knowledge, there is no Russian mafia involvement or connection with Rusoro: I was wrong. According to the most recent information circular, the significant Russian shareholders in Rusoro are Andre Agapov (8.9 million shares), Vladimir Agapov (59 million shares) and Peter Hambro (~6.1 million shares). These are legitimate businessmen and companies.

In retrospect, had my foot not been so much quicker than my mind, this is what I should have said regarding why we are not invested in Rusoro:

Although Rusoro is an obviously undervalued gold company with measured and indicated resources of about seven million ounces and another seven million in the inferred category, I do not see a clear way forward that benefits shareholders: i.e. takes the share price up. There are too many variables and risks that are beyond our ability to understand and predict in Venezuela. This uncertainty is a very strong headwind that I believe will keep outside investors from re-rating the company for quite some time. An investment in Rusoro implicitly assumes that you trust the Venezuelan government (Hugo Chavez at the moment) to play fair with shareholders.

Venezuela has been, shall we say, less than fair in their appropriation of natural resources. In 2007 they nationalized the last foreign company’s participation in an oil field. In the mining sector, Gold Fields and Hecla experienced sufficient national and local government impediments and bureaucracy at their gold projects to convince them it was best to leave. Their departure benefited Rusoro who legally acquired the Choco deposits from Gold Fields and, Isidora from Hecla. RML has subsequently been able to work through the issues and turn those operations around. Rusoro is now the “company of choice” for the Venezuelan government, as evidenced by their joint venture on the Isidora mine.

Elsewhere in Venezuela, Crystallex (a 26-cent stock with reserves of 16.8 million ounces of gold) was denied a mining permit and is awaiting an appeal. Gold Reserve, the other foreign mining company operating in Venezuela, is contesting the revocation of a key permit by the government on their Las Brisas gold deposit. Both companies are effectively dead in the water at the hands of the government.


It just remains for me to say that, as a subscriber to Exploration Insights, I would recommend this high quality newsletter to all. Nobody does the world of rocks as well as Cook. Nobody. For more info, click through here. I state that I stand to receive no sort of renumeration whatsoever from recommending Cook's services to you, it's simply a case of reco'ing a quality service to make you into a better mining investor.

UPDATE: for those of you tuning in from V-Headline, please be clear that Roy Carson is a two-faced lying dickhead of the first order.

Charts of the day are.......

....the15 minute candles for gold and the US dollar index (USD).

Whatever makes you think they are related, Otto?


Ohhh, just a hunch, ya knowz...

Rose Window at Church of St Matthias, Richmond and the Golden Rectangle

Golden Rectangle
The main part of the church was built in 1857-8 to the design of Sir George Gilbert Scott, the upper part of the tower and spire being completed in 1861-2.

Key internal features include the great wheel window at the west end of the church, filled with fine stained glass by Wailes and Co of Newcastle-upon-Tyne, depicting the heads of the twelve Apostles with the head of Our Lord at the centre, dating from 1869.

Click the figure below to see the interactive illustration of Rose Window at Church of St Matthias, Richmond and the Golden Rectangle.


Rose Window at Church of St Matthias, Richmond and the Golden Rectangle.
See more:
Rose Window at Church of St Matthias, Richmond

Tuesday, September 29, 2009

North Rose window at Chartres Cathedral and the Golden Rectangle

Golden Rectangle
The Cathedral of Our Lady of Chartres, is a Roman Catholic cathedral located in Chartres, about 50 miles southwest of Paris, is considered one of the finest examples in all France of the Gothic style of architecture.

Click the figure below to see the interactive illustration of the North Rose window at Chartres Cathedral and the Golden Rectangle.


Rose window at Chartres Cathedral and the Golden Rectangle.
See more:
Rose window at Chartres Cathedral

We definitely don't like Lewis Amselem

I heart Machetera. Here's the start, click thru to read the rest. Seriously, quel sac de douche:
Lewis Amselem, the head of the U.S. delegation to the Organization of American States (OAS), who called President Manuel Zelaya’s return to his country “irresponsible” and “foolish” was denounced years ago for having concealed the identities of individuals, one of whom was a U.S. national, who tortured and raped a U.S. nun in Guatemala.
CONTINUES HERE

Also, check out the top compilation RB has put together over at ten percent.

Peru and Moody's: All you need to know


Sept. 29 (Bloomberg) -- Peru’s foreign debt rating was put on review for an increase to investment grade by Moody’s Investors Service (continues)

September 29 (AP): "....But Moody's faces additional scrutiny because one of its former analysts has accused the company of pressuring its analysts to inflate bond ratings, and its biggest shareholder, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, has unloaded nearly 9 million shares since July (continues)...."

September 23 (Reuters) - A former analyst with Moody's Corp (NYSE:MCO - News) has accused the credit ratings agency of issuing inflated ratings, and has taken his concerns to U.S. congressional investigators, the Wall Street Journal reported (continues)

May 29 2008 (Rebuild org): "The Moody's Corporation, a securities rating firm, is under suspicion of giving false ratings to some of the securities that it had been evaluating. Currently, the corporation is looking into whether those inaccurate, high ratings were the result of computer mistakes (continues)"

LIMA, March 24 2009 (Reuters) - More Peruvians went hungry last year despite blazing economic growth, a sign that President Alan Garcia is stumbling in efforts to direct benefits of an impressive expansion to the poor. The percentage of people in Peru with inadequate nutrition rose by more than 11 percent in 2008, faster than the economy's 9.8 percent surge, according to the national statistics agency. Now, 32 percent of Peruvians do not get enough to eat (continues)

LIMA, Oct 8 2008 (Reuters) - UPDATE 1 - Thousands march against García, corruption in Peru (continues)

Hundreds of other links available.

Pisco sours served, the end.


Astoundingly Poor on other continents, too


A non-LatAm OT, courtesy of kind reader and always entertaining mailer 'JR'. Let's not beat around the bush, let's just get the BBC to tell it as it is:

The Associated Press (AP) news agency has accidentally published internal notes about the arrest of film director Roman Polanski instead of a story.

The document details an exchange of messages between reporters about Mr Polanski, who was held in Switzerland and faces extradition to the US.

In the note, one reporter asks if his colleague can "do some more probing" and speculates that Switzerland was under pressure from the US.

AP swiftly filed a replacement article.

The mistake came to light on 27 September, with the headline "Swiss arrest Polanski on US request in sex case".

But rather than a conventional news story, the post contained basic information as to when the press conference would start, and then continued, saying the reporter would "push out another writethru [sic] with some more background details before press conference", while a colleague wondered if the Swiss were under "intense pressure" and whether they wanted "to throw the US a bone".

Sent in error, the copy was picked up by the Google News service, as well as being automatically posted to a number of yada yada continues here

Catching up with ECU Silver (ECU.to), Bill Murphy and the 2010 half price GATA challenge


Back on February 25th 2009, GATA head honcho Bill Murphy wrote the following words when talking about ECU Silver (ECU.to):
If this stock (ECU.to) is not at $3 US, or CDN, by the end of the year, I will cut the Café’s subscription price in half for 2010, or $100 versus the now $199 … which means I will lose hundreds of thousands of dollars if this dog does not hunt … am putting my money and my mouth where my money is.

Here's the link to those words in a very interesting article by Murphy also includes a jawdropping comment about how Murphy has only ever visited one mine in his life (that of ECU) but still considers himself an expert on things mining. He also calls the work done by ECU.to management "incredible". This is true, but only in the strict sense of the word. It beggars belief, frankly. And so with just three months or so left before the end of the year, let's see how close Bill's dawg is to that hunt:


Hmmmm....I have to say that by the looks of things, GATA Metropole Café subscription will indeed drop to $100 for 2010 and Murphy will indeed lose those hundreds of thousands of dollars he mentioned. A bit of a bummer for Murphy to lose more money on top of the cash that's evaporated from his 1.75m ECU.to shares held, but at least his loyal clientele get to benefit. But you never know in this crazy game of stockings marketings, so we'll keep a close eye on things....maybe Bill gets his late win after all! Hope springs eternal and all that.....

But remember GATAites, don't be backward about claiming your 2010 discount if it doesn't go Murphy's way. We all know that he's a man of his word and will honour his hubri...SORRY! his sincerely held views.

Trading Post (small and popping edition)


Strait Gold (SRD.v) up 15.4% at 7.5c and Pandoro (PML.v) up 11.1% at 25c. These two tiddlers have got together on the deal over a Peru copper/gold asset and you can read about in this PR. We will be going into detail about this in IKN23, out Sunday. For the moment we'll sum things up in one word: Interesting.

Dynasty Metals (DMM.to) down 0.8% at $3.85. DMM releases solid, factual good news and the market yawns. A sparrow farts close to an idiots-only Ecuador pump job like EC.v and it zooms 20% either way. Go figure yourself, but I still prefer the boring side of the street.

Troy Resources (TRY.to) down 7.7% at C$1.93 with raised but not massive volumes. The Aussie listing runs this stock and so the dot TO version will just do what its big brother did while it was asleep. There's a chance to buy cheaply here, which is good. The issue is whether there'll be a chance to buy cheaper later.

Kinross (KGC) up 3.2% at U$21.99. The weirdest story about K today hit bloomberg entitled "Kinross May Boost Gold Production 57% Within 5 Years". My immediate reaction was "or perhaps production will only increase 54.5%.... or maybe a bit less.... or maybe outperforming an impressive 58.214%". When you read it you see that all the dumbass reporter has done is assume that six pipeline projects in South America come online as scheduled, something as as likely as the hole in my trasero healing up. Included is the economically very dubious Cerro Casale white elephant up in the frozzy dry wastes of Chile (plenty of ounces, no idea how to get 'em out) and Fruta Del Norte in Ecuador, a place where exploitation permits will only start to get handed out 2012, which cuts three years out of the timeline before drawing a second breath. Really, what's the point of this type of bandwidth-waste? Bloomie hacks should really stick to what they do best, which is..... errrrrrrrr.............. mmmmmmmm....drinking coffee.

Honduras: The Sisters of Mercy speak out

If Jesus Christ is too communist for you please ignore the following. If you are a normal, adjusted person, please take action. TY reader DB for the headsup.


FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

September28,2009

U.S. RELIGIOUS DELEGATION TO HONDURAS CALLS ON U.S. GOVERNMENT TO SPEAK OUT AGAINST HUMAN RIGHTS VIOLATIONS

Stephanie Heiland

Sisters of Mercy of the Americas

314.909.4633

As the crisis in Honduras explodes with last week's unexpected return of President Zelaya and now with the suspension of Hondurans' constitutional rights, the Sisters of Mercy Institute Justice Team is meeting with U.S. policy makers, including Administration and Congressional offices, urging them to speak out strongly and publicly in denouncing the excessive force and brutal human rights violations committed by the de facto Honduran government.

This call for immediate action to address the emergency situation in Honduras is included in a report issued by a U.S. religious delegation to Honduras which visited Honduras August 18-25, 2009. The delegation's report documents key findings following meetings with legal, government, church and humanitarian officials and agencies in Honduras, as well as on-site testimonials from dozens of Hondurans who reported horrific human rights violations.

Organized by the Sisters of Mercy of the Americas Institute Justice Team with the support of Quixote Center/Quest for Peace, this U.S. religious delegation was in response to requests from religious partners and community organizations in Honduras for international accompaniment following the June 28, 2009 coup in Honduras.

Delegation members included Jean Stokan, Sisters of Mercy of the Americas Director of the Institute Justice Team; Diane Guerin, RSM, Sisters of Mercy of the Americas - Mid-Atlantic Community Justice Coordinator; Edia Lopez, RSM, Sisters of Mercy of the Americas - Caribbean, Central America and South America Community; and Marie Dennis, Co-President of Pax Christi International.

"We urge the U.S. to be unequivocal in the signals it gives to the de facto Honduran government on the need to return to constitutional order," said Stokan. "The hope is that once constitutional order is restored, the challenges around addressing the deep polarization in society can be advanced. Too much is at stake not to proceed in this direction."

To access a summary report and full report from U.S. Religious Delegation to Honduras: Go to www.sistersofmercy.org



Problem 360. Area of a triangle, Curvilinear triangles, Circles, Diameters.

Proposed Problem
Click the figure below to see the complete problem 360 about Area of a triangle, Curvilinear triangles, Circles, Diameters.

 Problem 360. Area of a triangle, Curvilinear triangles, Circles, Diameters.
See more:
Complete Problem 360
Level: High School, SAT Prep, College geometry

Mansfield Minerals (MDR.v): Whatever gives you the impression of self-serving management, Otto?

Ooooh, just a slight suspicion, ya knowz.

Let's check on the recent action over at Mansfield Minerals (MDR.v), a company with assets in South America including its main one, Lindero, a gold heap leach project with somewhere between 1.5m and 2m oz Au to dig up, it seems. Here's the three month chart for MDR....
....and we can see that on September 18th the stock moved up in fine style on heavy volumes. This because MDR released this PR a couple of hours after the opening bell that gave the world warning that they got gold, they got a 43-101 pre-feas study on the way in 4q09, they gotta be loved by all.

So the stock shot up. Fair enough, but it also shot up just (and I mean just) after company President Gordon Leask helped himself to 250,000 shares at $0.57, scant minutes before the big move was made. and the stock finished at 83c for the day (today it's 85c, FWIW):

Mansfield Minerals Inc. (MDR)

As of September 28th, 2009
Filing Date Transaction Date Insider Name Ownership Type Securities Nature of transaction # or value acquired or disposed of Unit Price
Sep 28/09 Sep 18/09 Leask, Gordon Patrick Direct Ownership Common Shares 10 - Acquisition in the public market 250,000 $0.570



If we check out the one minute chart for MDR in the period....

....we can see just how amazingly, amazingly, spookily lucky Gordy's timing really was. Now for sure these 1min charts are never easy to read, but if you click it to enlarge you'll see how it worked.

Let's hope management at MDR is as good at adding net worth to the company as they are about adding it to their own back pockets. DYODD.

Troy Resources (TRY.to) (TRY.ax): The slump continues

The big bad boardroom battle over at Troy Resources (TRY.to) (TRY.ax) has done this to the company share price over the last couple of days....
....with another 6.8% lopped off in Australia last night and the Canadian stock likely to go under C$2 by the end of play this morning. For some bckground of the whole shebang, check out this report in The Australian.

As a TRY long I'm watching the issue carefully, but mainly for two reasons:

1) Will it cause any delay for the Casposo mine construction?
2) Will it give me a decent place to buy more stock?

The first one is the key to the drop. The boardroom spat seems to be centred on the way TRY wants to raise the cash to build its new mine, so while there's dissent there may be a delay in the forward movement at Casposo. Nothing sure yet, but if things slow down it can't be good in the short term.

The second one is the way to play this, in my opinion at least. With people panicking out of the stock still, the drop is still fast and there's no point in catching the falling knife. But if we can (hopefully) identify the bottom at some point, the chances of adding to this company with great fundies and long term prospects may turn into a trade to remember. DYODD.

Oh noes! Ecuador peaceful! Dismay washes over western world!

News from the indigenous protest that was being gushingly gushed by the dumbass English media in LatAm as "Correa's first showdown" with the indigenous community that had already "toppled previous governments" and stuff is that the protest has been suspended and dialogue has started. Here's Reuters (translated from Spanish report):

QUITO: Ecuador's indigenous movement called off a protest on Monday that threatened to paralyze the Andean nation after reaching an agreement with the government to open a proces of dialogue concerning an official proposal that will regulate the use of water.

After sporadic roadblocks in strategic places all day, the indigenous leaders decided to suspend the protest amidst discontent from the grassroots bases of the organization that did not support the talks with the government.

Or in other words, the dumbass English language press had you all worked up over nothing.

Again.

You really should stop getting your LatAm biznews from people who can't speak the Spanish or Portuguese. In factt he only news worth worrying about out of Ecuador is good, with the first pour of gold at Dynasty's (DMM.to) Zaruma mine showing the progress to responsible mining practices that the government has promoted all along...but we don't wanna talk about good biznews from and AxisOfEvo™ country, do we?

Vino calientes served. The end.

Chart of the day is.....

....the gold/silver ratio (cos we haven't stuck it up here for a while) accompanied by three semi-randomly generated messages:



1) The way today is shaping up we can expect the GSR to move North.

2) Yes, I've read the zerohedge article about gold and the smoking gun, thank you all for sending in the link but no need to send it in any more. Shock horror, gold is manipulated. The only thing new is that zerohedge suddenly cares about gold. That has to be a contrary indicator.

3) Happy birthday to my beautiful, intelligent, wonderful, kind and generally fabulous wife.

Monday, September 28, 2009

Colossus (CSI.to): Canaccord burns its clients' cash again


From IKN's department of shareholders-if-they-can't-take-a-joke-f***-em, Colossus Minerals is making great strides this morning because some analyst who works at the can of corn that really, REALLY should learn some Portuguese before opening his mouth reco'd the stock to his flock. Here's how Canaccord's Morning Coffee publication broke the shameless BS pum.......SORRY!!, the considered analytical opinion to its flock this morning.

"Given the considerable M&A activity in the mining sector and a growing consensus that the price of gold may still track upwards, it appears investors may have some interesting opportunities. Canaccord Adams Mining Analyst Nicholas Campbell believes that Colossus Minerals is a likely acquisition target and sees the potential for the project to be advanced to production by late-2011 to early-2012."

.
Truly I say unto you, great grades or not there's more chance of Hugo Chávez having gay sex with Andrés Oppenheimer than any major paying serious multimillions for this asset. Not only are there serious geological issues and a lot of geols scratching their heads and saying "with host rock like that, how the devil are we going to get it out the ground?" but the volatile political risk tinderbox that is Serra Pelada makes Honduras look calm and stable. Canaccord's analysts are just leading their sheep up the garden path...again.
.
Dumbass analysis on Latin American mining issues never ends, even from those who get paid to analyse LatAm mining. Production late 2011? Gimme a break! I laugh at the lemmings, sneer contemptuously at the uninformed analysts leading them astray and avoid this stock like the plague.

Evo and popularity

From IKN's department of fed-up-to-the-back-teeth-with-this-bullshit-bias, here we go with the latest opinion polls and Presidential approval ratings for Evo Morales of Bolivia. With just two months before the most one-sided presidential race since Chirac vs Le Pen, Evo has been given a 60% approval rating over the length and breadth of Bolivia, up six points since the last poll, by the reliable pollsters Ipsos Apoyo.
.
So Evo is popular, period. He's popular because he's been doing a good job. Got that? I know it might be tough to swallow for some of you, but it's just another inconvenient fact that you're gonna have to live with, dudettes and dudes. However there's more to see in the numbers and that's why there are several bars on that chart above. The results have been broken down further and show Evo's support in the three major conurbations of Bolivia. In his La Paz/El Alto stronghold he's running an impressive 84%. In Cochabamba he's polling 56% and is far more popular than his main (adjective used loosely) election opponent, local boy Manfred Mann Villa Reyes or Reyes Villas or whatever his name is. In Santa Cruz, he's polling under 50% but the 39% approval is nobody's idea of a total disaster. Just check how Evo's numbers in Santa Cruz compare to Twobreakfasts in the whole of his country, also according to Ipsos/Apoyo.
.
Strange how the English language media that cover South America love to dwell on Evo's unpopularity in Santa Cruz but nary a word gets printed about the utter rejection felt by the Peruvian people all over the country towards their dumbass-in-chief. Strange, innit?

Dynasty (DMM.to): Anyone still saying that miners can't work in Ecuador?


To all naysayers of the Ecuador mining scene: You were wrong. Live with it. Dynasty Metals (DMM.to) is open for business.

VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA--(Marketwire - Sept. 28, 2009) - The management of Dynasty Metals & Mining Inc. (TSX:DMM - News; "Dynasty" or the "Company") is very pleased to announce the Company has poured its first gold at its recently commissioned gold processing plant at Zaruma in Ecuador. In total, the dory bars poured by the Company contained approximately ten kilograms (320 ounces) of gold and 50 kilograms (1,600 ounces) of silver.

Robert Washer, the Company's President and Chief Executive Officer commented: "This is a significant moment in the Company's history and for the development of a modern mining industry in Ecuador. We would like to thank the government of Ecuador for its ongoing support for the development of the Zaruma Gold Project, which is the first large scale modern mining operation in Ecuador's history."

The Company has now successfully commissioned all sections of the plant. The Company will continue to optimize plant operations by processing material mined during the ongoing development of the declines.


I wonder what the idiot bashers will say next about Correa's government and its attitude towards mining? So if the dumbass liars still want to argue facts, first look up what "gold pour" means, send them the definition and then tell them to....

Understanding Venezuela financial experts


So Venezuela is selling U$3Bn in dollar bonds, most probably this week, to its local market.

Here's what local experts are saying:
The bolivar will likely extend its rebound in the parallel market in the run-up to the $3 billion offering, said Russell Dallen, head trader at Caracas Capital Markets at BBO Financial Services Inc. The rally may stall after the sale, he said.

“Once the new issue comes to market -- unless the government has some other ongoing plan up their sleeve to shore up the rate -- all bets are off and we would expect to see the bolivar return to its consistent path of devaluation and continued deterioration,” Dallen said.

And this is what it means.
"It's not fair! Thye're not playing by the rules! The VEF should have been at 10 by now, but don't worry, fee paying clients, we're still right even when we're wrong."

Otto sez: When you own machinery that produces 3.2 million barrels of oil a day, those barrels of oil cost $6 each to produce and you sell 3/4 of them overseas for over $60, you don't follow rules. You make them.

Copper

Here's the latest LME inventory number (which shot up over 340,000MT late last week):

Here's the five year inventory:
Here's the spot price over the same period.


Is the rise in inventories and the reversal of copper prices related?

Is the Pope Catholic?

Do bears tend to defecate in woodland areas?

The Don Coxe weekly webcast

Here's the link, go have a listen to the nice Mr Coxe and his world class musings and thoughts on the market. Well worth your time this week.

Thank you to reader 'm' for the headsup.

Charts of the day are.......

..Peru's new vehicle sales, 2008 and 2009.

Here's the 2009 to date numbers compared to the same period of last year...


...and this one shows the August 2008 vs August 2009 single month numbers.

When publishing this, the Peru car people, ADEPA, said that things are getting better. I reckon it must be that "getting better" phrase that the US homebuilders used back in early 2008. According to El Comercio,
"Despite the figures, ADEPA considers that sales continue to show a moderate recovery in relation to the first few months of this year."
I ABSOLUTELY ADORE that phrase "despite the figures". You could re-write that as "despite the truth" or perhaps "despite the plain facts staring at them in the face" because when I went to numbers skool a January-August drop of 20.96% and an August drop of 28.6% would mean that the slowdown in sales is getting worse, not better.

Peru's economic miracle: The miracle is that people believe their bullshit.

Sunday, September 27, 2009

The IKN Weekly, out now


IKN22 has just been sent to subscribers. One mailbox has bounced, so could "buckeye" get in contact, please?

Saturday, September 26, 2009

Amazing, beautiful, must-see

I've seen some impressive acts hit the screens in recent times, but this video from Ukraine's version of the talent show series is just incredible. The best. Words fail me.



You have to watch this, and watch it with the sound turned on, too. After two minutes you think "wow, what a talent" but then it just gets better and better. At the end she writes "you are always near (to us)".

Brent Cook on BNN Market Call, September 25th

Essential viewing for mineheads. Sixty minutes of Brent Cook on BNN last night. Excellent insight and solid advice all the way through. Link through right here.

Friday, September 25, 2009

The Friday OT: Jacques Brel; La ville S'endormait

I can resist no longer.




How does anyone call "the best song ever"? It's impossible, it depends on shifting moods, tastes, times. There are so many superlative tracks of music in the world and so many more to discover, but all the same, under the classic "put a gun to my head" situation your humble servant chooses this one. No singer has ever touched me as deeply as Brel does. This is my favourite Brel song. End of story.

Zero Currency 5


Sept 25

the unbearable lightness of........

....blogging.

Posting will be light during the sunlight hours today as family fun beckons chez Otto. I beg your leave and will be back with snark after dark.

Con permiso....

Chart of the day is.........

....LME inventories of copper...just for a change, eh?

Here's the five year chart for context.

It comes with this quote from Reuters this morning:
"We're bound to recover at some point but for the next six to 12 months anything can happen. Demand isn't great and there is excess material out there," said an LME-based trader.

Translation: "WTFDIK? But hey, buy anyway..what could possibly go wrong, suckaz?

Thursday, September 24, 2009

Problem 359. Cyclic quadrilateral, Angle bisector, Rhombus

Proposed Problem
Click the figure below to see the complete problem 359 about cyclic quadrilateral, angle bisector, rhombus.

 Problem 359. Cyclic quadrilateral, Angle bisector, Rhombus.
See more:
Complete Problem 359
Level: High School, SAT Prep, College geometry

Is Peru providing logistical support for the Honduras coupmongers?

Screenshot from the video below that clearly shows the tear gas
being used by Honduras police to put down pro-Zelaya
protestors is from Peru's National Police Force


It was something that your humble servant (and commenters to IKN) first noted yesterday when mentioned in Al Giordano's incisive article on the latest developments in Honduras.
"We can also see in that video the revelation that the tear gas canisters shot by the National Police yesterday were stamped as property of the government of Perú..."
Today it's been a subject that's made it to headlines in Peruvian media and questions being asked by respected members of congress in Peru's parliament.

Is Peru helping the illegal government of Micheletti? Is Peru providing vital logistical support to Honduras police and armed forces to help them repress the pro-Zelaya protestors? The evidence is pretty clear on one score; those tear-gas canisters used by Honduras police officers on Wednesday are clearly marked "Policía Nacional Del Perú" (no translation needed, I trust).



You'll see them on this video at minute 1:40 (about 2/3rds of the way through). It couldn't be printed any more clearly. The man in the shot says (translated), "This is the type of bomb the police use to repress us. The USA sent them to the Peruvian police and the Peruvian police sent (them) to Honduras. How can this be? What explanation can be given for this?".

Peruvian daily La Primera quotes opposition member of congress Fredy Otárola this way:
It's "very serious" that tear gas canisters carrying the inscription "Policía Nacional Del Perú" are being used by Honduran police because it is evidence that the government of president Alan García is supporting the coupmonger government of Roberto Micheletti."
The director of Peru's National Coordinator of Human Rights, Ronald Gamarra:
"...demanded that the minister of the interior, Octavio Salazar, explained how the tear gas got to Honduras."
Opposition parliamentarian Yonhy Lescano (ottonote: one of a rare breed of honest politicos in Peru) said that he would ask minister Salazar explain the situation to parliament (ottonote: a formal situation in Peru that is used when a situation is suitably serious) and to ask him to clarify whether Peru's government is supplying the illegal Honduras government.

Even the ruling APRA party is a seat of dissent, with APRA congress member Edgar Nuñez saying
"...it is very serious that the police has sent tear gas to Honduras."
Peru needs to make a clear statement right now. It has taken a weak line of support for Zelaya, but all the same Peru's official position is to support the Oscar Arias plan that reinstates Zelaya to power. It also voted not to recognize the Micheletti coup government with all other UNASUR members. Is Peru sneakily helping Micheletti behind everyone's back? We need to be told.


UPDATE: A few minutes ago and via press release, Peru's national police force stated that it hadn't sold, donated of given in any way any tear gas canisters to Honduras and it was all some administrative error blamed on a company in Honduras.

OH WELL, THAT'S ALL RIGHT THEN. NOTHING TO WORRY ABOUT HERE.

In fact the only people that have to worry are those who dare to report this piece of news, because at the end of the press release the PNP stated (translation):
"The right to begin legal actions in order the preserve the image of the country and of the police is reserved."
I'm having one of those ScoobyDoo we-wudda-gotten-away-with-it-too-if-it-weren't-for-you-pesky-kids-and-that-dawg moments again. Funny how they spring up so often these days....


Sulfur-laden, simultaneous translation red-in-da-bed pinko indoctrination alert

Hugo Chávez does Larry King tonight, that's 9pm EST in earth hours.

Betcha Larry pronunces Hugo's last name better than that dumbass Oliver Stone.

Borev got the juice.

Trading Post (sub grand edition)


ILLUMINATI!
How dare gold go down...it can only ever go up, remember? :-)


Troy Resources (TRY.to) down a penny at $2.31 and in the last couple of sessions has retraced from its recent $2.45 52wk high.

ATW Gold (ATW.v) down a penny at $0.37. I'm still trying to work out whether Ernesto is a biz genius or a naive mineplayer. Maybe both.

ECU Silver (ECU.to) down 5.3% at $0.54. Oh c'mon, laugh along with me, can't yaz? :-)

Ecometals (EC.v) UNCH at $0.425. I'm still chuckling about the 67c trading yesterday. I thus baptise this stock "The New Crystallex".

Vena Resources (VEM.to) up 2.7% at $0.375. Still sub 40c and that's not good. This has been a quiet stock recently, in both newsflow and volume terms. But hey, look at the decent volumes today...you never know, newsflow might just follow. DYODD.

Fortuna Silver (FVI.v) down 4% at $1.43 and the kind of day that's leaves itself open to adding this or entering for a swift trade. Utterly likeable stock that seems to have found a new $1.40 to $1.55 range. How long will that last? No idea, dude.

reader's polltime!

What with one thing and another, the amount of mail containing abuse and threats received by your humble servant has seen an upspike in recent days. Now let's make it clear that I'm not talking about you people that write to disagree, not even if you come over on the snide side. Nah, what we're talking about are threats like the one received from one of the German whores yesterday who wanted to know my address so that he could "send the summons" (he must have had too many Carlsberg Astras, methinks). It seems his view on Trevali differs from my own!

So I thought we'd have a reader's poll on this one. What do you think I should do with the abusive stuff received? Here are the choices, pick your fave.

  • 1) Send them my home address and invite them round so they can meet my dog. Personally the wife should scare them more but somehow visitors always seem nervous of him and his mouth. It must be something to do with his size :-).
  • 2) Publish all hatemail received on the blog. Also publish the e-mail addresses as they will then get picked up by the spambots roaming the web and start sending them adverts for penis enlargement kits.
  • 3) Ignore them. This option is the boring one but might save the most time.
  • 4) Join the German language Wallstreetonline message board and spend all day explaining to the poor saps that read these paid pumpers just how false the "special inside information" really is. The same could be done for the ECU Silver message bullboards, as just one other example (of many).
  • Other suggestions?

All opinions gratefully received. Mojitos served. The end.

Julio Alberto Poch

Julio Alberto Poch, then and now

A pilot running a regular, scheduled flight between Amsterdam and Valencia, Julio Alberto Poch was arrested by Interpol yesterday as his plane sat on the tarmac in Spain. This because he was one of the pilots that used to run the so-called "death flights" during the Argentina Dirty War of the 1970s and 1980's and has charges against his name that include the responsibility for the deaths of 1,000 people.

Lillie over at the excellent Memory in Latin America site is on the case with this post that gives details and plenty of links for further perusal. She also put up another post from which I'm going to sample, just to give you an idea of the things Poch did 30 years ago. Congrats to the Spanish authorities for their sharp work and may Poch rot in jail. Here's the extract from Lillie's post that tells how a death flight worked:

They [the prisoners] were informed that they were going to be transferred to the south and would be given a vaccination for that reason. They were given a vaccination - I mean a dose of something to knock them out, a sedative. It made them drowsy.[...] Then they were put on a truck, a green truck with a canopy. We went to the military airport [...] Then the subversives were carried out like zombies and loaded onto the airplane. (21-22)

In their unconscious state, the prisoners were stripped, and when the commander of the airplane gave the order, which happened according to where the plane was, the hatch was opened and they were thrown out, naked, one by one. That's the story. A gruesome story, but true, and no one can deny it.
CONTINUES HERE

Plenty of mining newsflow...

...in the very recent past. Here are some of the more interesting PRs from companies in LatAm or closely followed.

Lara Exploration (LRA.v) is taking over Maxy's (MXD.v) in an all share deal. Lara has always been a pretty astute project generation company in the region. Maxy's has Peru and China assets and has never convinced me. Perhaps time to look at its assets again,as if they're good enough for the sharp eyes at LRA they can't be bad.

Fronteer (FRG) and Teck , 40/60 owners of the assets in question, are really close to selling the two Turkish projects they've had up for sale to Alamos Gold (AGI.to). I'll be talking about the financial effect of this deal to FRG in IKN22, out Sunday. Suffice to say here that we like FRg a lot and that view has just been reinforced.

Focus Ventures (FCV.v) has made it out of shell status and gets quoted on the TSXV for the first time this morning. It has cash, it has an interesting asset, it has the RDU.v behind it. No reco here, just DYODD.

Yamiri Gold (YGI.v) is raising capital. This was recently cleaned of its assets and dubious Argentine management team and put into the hands of those slickers at Endeavour Financial (EDV.to)...y'know, Gordon Keep, his short pal and their friends. One that might surprise next year.

Minera Andes (MAI.to): Nearly forgot this one. Those slackers at San José have taken an impromptu vacation again. I'll be on this case in IKN22 as well. Humph.

Chart of the day is.....

.....sugar, because of the news out of Brazil and the rising (though still uncertain) chance of a rally back to highs.

The solid forecast hits the world at 11am EST. Check out this Bloomie report as I was particularly impressed with a Brazilian national saying "raining cats and dogs"...just hope it wasn't found in translation.

Sept. 24 (Bloomberg) -- Brazil’s Center South, the world’s biggest sugar-producing region, may make less of the sweetener than previously forecast amid the heaviest rains in more than two decades, grower Maurilio Biagi Filho said.

Industry association Unica will probably cut its sugar forecast for the region today from an April estimate of 31.2 million metric tons this year, Biagi, the world’s second-biggest cane grower, said yesterday by telephone from Ribeirao Preto, Brazil. Unica is set to release a new estimate at 11 a.m. New York time.

Rains in the Center South, which produces more than 80 percent of Brazil’s sugar and ethanol, have hindered harvesting and reduced sugar cane’s level of sucrose, the substance used to make the sweetener and fuel. Sao Paulo, the biggest-producing state, received 180 millimeters (7.1 inches) of rain this month through yesterday, the most since 1983, Biagi said.

“It has been raining cats and dogs here for almost three months in a row,” Biagi said. “Sugar output will definitely be revised down.”

CONTINUES HERE
Participating and organising SOMP meeting requires effective communication.

There are following possibilities for receiving and sending information:

Contact Organising Committee

Contact SOMP officers
Use SOMP Communication Board

Read SOMP web pages

For Facebook users, we reccommend connecting SOMP page to receive instant updates

Wednesday, September 23, 2009

Lenin Moreno, Ecuador's Vice President, hospitalized for blood loss in Lima, Peru


A strange story just hitting the airwaves. Lenin Moreno, Ecuador's Veep and number two politico behind Correa, was hospitalized in Lima, Peru today due to blood loss. Details of how the blood was lost are not known as yet, but apparently it started while he was at his hotel in Lima this morning. Moreno has been confined to a wheelchair since 1998 after being shot during an attempted robbery.

He was admitted as an emergency case but right now is out of danger, according to the sketchy reports at least. He is still under observation in the Lima Armed Forces hospital.

Honduras: Al Giordano nails it


I'm shamelessly stealing the cool Latuff cartoon that accompanies Al Giordano's piece on Honduras, Brazil, what Lula said today at the UN and lots of et ceteras. But to read the most excellent analysis you have to click this link and go over to his website. Well worth your trouble. Go go go.

Trading Post (buy 'em small, buy 'em all edition)


Who needs analysis anyway? Just buy a bunch of pennystocks and watch them all fly.

ATAC Resources (ATC.v) up 29.8% at $0.74 on a good step-out drill result from up there in Yukon.

Dia Bras (DIB.v) up 20% at $0.18. We very likey.

Radius Gold (RDU.v) up 2.4% at $0.21 on news that it's optioning out one of its landholdings, an Oaxaca (South Mexico) silver property, to fellow Ridgway stock FVI.v (up 1.3% at $1.55). RDU.v slowly building a good looking book of assets.

Ecometals (EC.v) up 27.5% at $0.51. I can't stop laughing, esp when I think about the idiot who bought t 67c today. Going back under 40c soon. Stocks for children or Las Vegas addicts...or the children of Las Vegas addicts. See below for why.

Crown Point Ventures (CWV.v) up 7.4% at $0.58 and going well on low volumes. Toldya 'bout this one enough times, now 40% up and holding thru for the speculative bigshot.

Gleichen Resources (GRL.v) up 9.8% at $1.23. You go girl!

The beating heart of Peru's economic miracle revealed by The Wall Street Journal

Here's how Peru's top three export products for 2009 look like stacking up.


That cocaine number comes from this report in the WSJ with this as the moneyline...

"...the estimated $20 billion annually that Peruvian cocaine fetches abroad."

..that is also making the headlines in Peru today.

No wonder the Sanchez-Paredes family votes APRA, eh?

Ecometals (EC.v) bullshits the market again


Here's a link to the latest from the BS merchants at Ecometals (EC.v) that hit the wires a couple of minutes ago, going by the snappy title of "Ecometals announces final EMP approval prior to drilling at at its Rio Zarza gold project in Ecuador".

When you read the headline it looks like Ecometals actually has permission to drill, doesn't it? But read on and you see that:
Ecometals Limited is pleased to announce receipt of the final approval resolution for its Environmental Management Plan and also the renewal of its Environmental Bond. This approval is the last major step ahead of consent to commence our drilling at Rio Zarza. There will now follow, in conjunction with the Ministry of Mines and the local communities within our area of influence, a Community Relations diffusion process to present and explain the project. We understand one of the major mining companies in the area completed this process earlier this month and is now waiting final permit approval from the Ministry of Mines. Since we are both dealing with the same communities, we are hopeful of a successful outcome. A contract has now been negotiated with drill contractors and site preparations and logistics have been finalised.

Now, what I suggest you do is read it while moving your lips, or maybe even read it out loud to the dog or the cat or something. They're pleased to announce they have the final major thing they need BEFORE they get the approval of the final REALLY major thing they need! ROFL! And now they have to go through weeks and weeks, maybe months of talks with locals before they may or may not get the chance to drill! Or in other words:

WE STILL CAN'T DRILL ZARZA, SUCKAZ!

This is the same company that said it'll be all done and dusted by the end of August, remember? Of course the share price took off like a rocket on this "news" thanks to the brainless momo runners that still believe these serial BS merchants. We'll now see the the same pump and dump as we saw last time and then the shorn sheep will blame people like me for telling them the truth.

As a total utter non-sequitur that has nothing to do with anything else in this post, why on earth did this little poker ditty just spring to mind?

If you sit at a poker table and can't see who the patsy* is in the first 15 minutes, it's you.


UPDATE: SIXTY-SEVEN CENTS A SHARE!!! LMFAO!!!


*Did i write pasty? Oh lordy, a five year old girl knows better than that

Gleichen Resources (GRL.v): So far so good

Gleichen Resources (GRL.v) has run up to $1.15 in the last couple of days and is now doing serious lumps of volume this morning.


Subscribers the The IKN Weekly got the dope about this stock and why it needed to be followed closely on Friday 7th August, after the bell on the evening before the big upmove, in a Flash Update. Since then we've kept an eye on the stock with short comments in The IKN Weekly. So far so good and the sell price we have mapped out is still further upstream.

DYODD.

The sad, continuing story of Doe Run Peru

It's difficult to explain just how much of a snafu the Twobreakfasts government has made of Doe Run Peru (DRP) but the latest chapter, written last night, should come as no surprise. Basically there are three actors in this play:

  • Ira Rennert, billionaire owner of Genco who are in turn the owners of DRP. He's a piece of crap but at least he's a predictable piece of crap; he dosn't care about anything but the money.
  • The workforce of DRP. They just want their jobs back.
  • The government of Peru that has tried to be play at governance and authority and has been laughed off the stage. The result has been death, mayhem and inertia.

Twobreakfasts&Co has tried to play the strongman card about the environmental regulations that DRP has to comply with by the end of October.

"You must comply with the October 2009 deadline", says Twobreakfasts.

Ira says, "screw you, we want 32 extra months".

This extension comes on the back of a previous extension that he totally ignored, so there's no reason to believe he'll clean up DRP this time, either. So the government decides to "be flexible" (read KY Jelly) and give DRP 20 months to do its cleanup program.

"Screw you", says Ira. "I said 32 months, you bunch of wimps."

So continues the impasse. Meanwhile, Ira rallies his troops on site and tells them to strike again to demand that the government caves in and gives DRP the 32 month extension. This they do (out of fear for losing jobs and desire to get back to earning a salary). The main road is blocked, the police move in and last night yet another police officer dies on the scene when hit by rocks pushed on to their position by the strikers.

Rule of law? Rule of $$$$$. The senseless, toothless, wet blanket government of Peru still has no idea what it's up against. In the Wild West of neoliberal Peru, Ira's money talks and Twobreakfasts' bullshit walks. There is no national pride, because if there was Ira Rennert would have been kicked out of the country and his assets seized months ago. The cowards that run Peru bow and scrape before the altar of investment grade at all costs.