Showing posts with label sovereign debt. Show all posts
Showing posts with label sovereign debt. Show all posts

Wednesday, September 9, 2009

That Bolivian economy


Fitch upped its rating on Bolivia yesterday (for those who care, it's now a 'B Stable'). Of course the world reacted with its usual apathy but one line of the Fitch review is worthy of dissemination to the four corners of this planet. Fitch said:
"..limited foreign participation in Bolivia's banking system as well as the absence of toxic assets or sizable international funding has shielded the country from fallout from the global crisis through direct financial channels."
The implications of that simple sentence run for thousands of words. Bolivia avoided the recipe for destruction handed out by the northern paymasters and is ignored because it has the fastest growing economy in the region. A once and future coca leaf grower runs countries better than teams of dumbasses in suits (you know them by the name 'economists') with multisquillon dollar eddycations. And now the country's embarrassing success is swept under the carpet, except by those technicals who are paid to recognize its macroeconomic stability.

Go figure. Seriously, go figure. Don't just forget about it because the concepts are uncomfortable to you, have a good think about it.

Sunday, March 29, 2009

UBS is a bunch of know-nothings on Ecuador


The other day I said that UBS had been calling Mexico well. Unfortunately, UBS is as patchy on LatAm as the rest of them and just because they show a bit of smarts in one corner doesn't mean they can be trusted in another. Take for example this report dated March 24th that starts.....

"Ecuador will announce a restructuring of its defaulted debt this week, UBS AG said."

...... and compare it to this report dated March 28th that starts....

"Ecuador will unveil detailed plans on April 20 for restructuring its $3.2 billion in defaulted international debt, President Rafael Correa said."

Moral of the story: Just because you wear a suit and get a monthly paycheck for following LatAm affairs it doesn't mean you're not a dumbass. But fear not, because in the end Jesus loves us all.

Monday, September 29, 2008

How's it going up there, finance boyz???

Down here we're getting credit ratings upgrade promised from Moody's, non-emergency debt buybacks in the cards and affirmations of robust net creditor positions.......... in.................

Venezuela.

Looks like Paulson has a model to follow.

xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

NEW YORK, Sept 29 (Reuters) - Standard & Poor's on Monday affirmed Venezuela's "BB-" sovereign credit rating, saying it was supported by its robust external and fiscal balance sheets, which continue to improve as a result of high and increasing oil revenues.

Standard & Poor's also said that the outlook on Venezuela remained stable.

"We expect that Venezuela's public sector will be in a net external creditor position of 25 percent of current account receipts in 2008, which is one of the strongest of any issuer in the "BB" category and significantly higher than the 1.5 percent net creditor position for the yada yada CONTINUES HERE