Tuesday, November 16, 2010

Peru poll numbers

Pollster IMA has a survey out for the 2011 Peru Presidential election (that's only 145 days away now) and there are changes in the house. In the first reasonably reliable poll to have been released since ex-Pres Alejandro Toledo and APRA's dauphine Merceded Araoz officially threw their hats into the rings, here's the standing in the Lima/Callao conurbation (data here):

The big one is that Toledo has jumped hard, perhaps 7 or 8 points (depending on which previous poll you read) and lies in second place with 24.3%. Araoz has also moved up, from around 3% to today's 7%.

Leading is still ex-Mayor of Lima Luis Castañeda with 27.1% but the big losers here are Keiko Fujimori slipping down to third (in Lima/Callao too, where her biggest powerbase lies) and Ollanta Humala (though he can be expected to score much higher in nationwide surveys, as his power base is the South of Peru).

Meanwhile, Toledo wasn't backwards about coming forwards on this poll result, as seen over at his twitter account where he wrote, "With modestly and responsibility I inform you all that we have moved up into second place (24.3%) in Lima. We keep working....".

For the record, this humble corner of cyberspace has been tipping Toledo for the job for a long time now (this post goes back to June, there were others before that too) but not out of any great love for the guy, either. This scribe simply thinks he's the least worst of the bunch and would make a least worse President than the other people running.