Showing posts with label from a porteño viewpoint. Show all posts
Showing posts with label from a porteño viewpoint. Show all posts

Monday, March 23, 2009

From a Porteño viewpoint: Early elections


Centre of political attention in Argentina has been the move by the Kirchner's (Nestor and Klishtina) to bring forward the congressional elections from October 2009 to June. Today, our resident expert on all things Argentina, El Porteño, is back with his call on the recent development and what it all means.

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Early Elections, or "Who's the Sneakiest?"

Nestor cheated, for sure. Not only can't he run as he plans as a candidate for deputy (ottonote, the lower congressional house in Argentina) in the Province of Buenos Aires (he's more Patagonian than a penguin) but also he brought forward the whole elections by three months. It was a brilliant play, catching the opposition unprepared for the election campaign. He also anticipated the current financial crisis that will wear on the now five years and counting of Kirchner dynasty, as everyone knows that in October the Kirchners would poll 5% or 10% than in June. It was a great political move, but all the same it's cheating.

You can't do things like this, but the problem is that they all do the same. Mauricio Macri did it last week by separating the porteño (Buenos Aires City) election from the national election timetable. Macri goes on and on about how expensive it is to hold an election, as each one costs the capital city aorund 20 million pesos (U$6m). Mauricio bases a whole disourse on saving money, but when it suits him politically he has no problem in separating elections and spending an extra 20m. They're all as dirty as one another. Mauricio, once upon a time was candidate for deputy in Misiones (ottonote, far northeastern corner of Argentina) when everyone knew he'd hardly ever stepped foot outside of his upper class Recoleta neighbourhood of Buenos Aires. Daniel Scioli is more porteño than Gardel (bad example, he was Uruguayan!) but he's now the governor of Buenos Aires province. They all cheat. Menem did the same in his day. Duhalde, Alfonsin, Cavallo, none of them are clean.

These days Argentine politicos are evermore sophisticated, they resemble chess players. They spend their whole time hatching plots to eke out advantages and gain extra power. Cristina called a surprise press conference to announce new measures that only two or three people knew about previously. The surprise effect takes the advantage away from the opposition, for example the farmers. Then the government really takes care in how the media portrays every newsworthy event. I'm certain that Nestor spends hours every day reading the newspapers, listening to the radio and watching the political programs on TV, and that Macri, Duhalde and Carrió do exactly the same. Then later they meet with their teams and allies to form their electoral strategy. These days it's more important to have the best image advisor than it is to have the best Finance Minister.

But what about the country? Who is considering long-term strategies and state politics for Argentina? Shouldn't politics be about these things? Shouldn't it be something passionate? It's clear that none of today's political class gives a damn about the country, but sometimes it's worrying that everything is so improvised, Machiavellian and empty of real content. Nowadays there's no debate on issues and projects, as the only thing that matters is who's the sneakiest among them. Up to now, Nestor has shown himself to be the best chess player.

Monday, February 23, 2009

From a Porteño viewpoint: Eduardo Duhalde

This week, El Porteño brings us an inside look at Eduardo Duhalde. Neither a hit-piece or a note from a Duhalde fan club, he brings us some excellent insight on this most important of Argentine political players. It's a pleasure to have such a great voice on Argentina as a regular guest blogger. All yours, Porteño:

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I still recall the year 2002 when Eduardo "The Godfather" Duhalde took over the presidency (after the infamous period of five Presidents in one week). They were Kafkaesque times and it was the worst crisis in our modern history. Somebody was needed to do the dirty work and Duhalde it was who was chosen to "pesificate" debt (ottonote, turn debt held in dollars into Argentine Pesos), especially of the large companies. I myself went out into the streets, banging my casserole and demanding that a delinquent such as he should resign. Later, Duhalde had to call snap elections after the police killed two young protestors in a demonstration and thus Nestor Kirchner arrived on the scene with the support of Duhalde, but later they fell out.

At that time I remember public opinion saying that Duhalde could never return to politics, but he said, "In the next crisis they'll come looking for me. I'm a good fireman and brave enough to make unpopular decisions". He was right.

Today everybody knows that only Duhalde can tame the disparate politics in Buenos Aires Province (ottonote; economic powerhouse region of Argentina and key state for all politicians). He has a close relationship with the five or six big owners of Argentina and with Nestor losing power and influence the opposition is looking to take advantage. Duhalde knows he cannot be a candidate himself but he is gathering all the conservative opposition around him, uniting the right-wing Peronists, the liberals, the oligarchy and the powerful rural landowners. Macri, Solá and Francisco de Narvaez are his candidates.

Obviously none of them can publicly declare they are 'employees' of Duhalde, but we all know that 'The Godfather' is the power behind this alliance. It's difficult to explain to those not versed in Peronist history, but the typical oligarchic power in Argentina needs Duhalde like a mafia capo to manage the common people and make the economic decisions that those powers need.

I only ask that all who vote for Macri realize that in fact they are voting for Eduardo Duhalde.

Tuesday, February 17, 2009

From a Porteño Viewpoint: Elisa Carrió

Regular guest blogger 'El Porteño' has the bit between his teeth these last few days. This post from the centre of the known universe (at least that's what porteños believe) takes a look at Elisa Carrió, long time socialist-leaning opposition politico and one of the most famoous figures in Argentine politics (here's her English language wikipedia page for some more basic background). "Lilita" is an interesting case study and gives an excellent window on the wider world of Argentine politics. So let's hand it over to El Porteño.

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Lilita Carrió considers herself the leader of the opposition. She comes from an upper-middle class family in the Chaco region of North Argentina. She had a brilliant career as a lawyer and university professor of law until she decided to take an active role in the Radical Party. She became famous for her parliamentary work during the Menem government by denouncing many cases of corruption. A practising Catholic, she has made her religion into a banner and tries to project an image of martyr and fighter against corruption and the political and economic powers. According to her, she has received death threats but her religious faith has always been stronger than "the mafias". She considers herself "enlightened" and destined to "save the Nation" and construct a "wonderful country" (between quotes all her own phrases).

I have voted for her many times. Her discourse is solid and she is has a well-trained intellect. She is a very good speaker and excellent in debates. Up until a few years ago she was very strong in the capital city and the large provincial cities (Rosario, Cordoba etc). I and many other people always voted for her knowing that she wasn't going to win. We voted for her to bother the powers of the day. At her peak she got more than 20% of the popular vote on a nationwide scale. That's a lot.

She has many weak points:
Her apocalyptic discourse is now tired. She always forecasting disasters that never happen and the Kirchner bonanza years (2003-2008) left her out in the cold. Deep down she may be right, but her overpowering manner of predicting the future doesn't win her votes. Now she's changing her tack and says she is an optimist.

She doesn't have leadership qualities and can't get enough party backing. There have already been many party members that joined with her only to later resign because she is too 'personalist'. She feels the need to be leader at all times, she's incapable of delegating and promoting new party figures from below. The saying is that "nobody grows next to Carrió". She projects the negative image of not being able to form a government; a government needs more than 5,000 posts filled and she doesn't even have 20 faithfuls.

Politically she was always the leader of the progressive electorate, always very worried about poverty and with some promises and policies that were almost 'revolutionary'. All this is now in the past and she has taken a sharp turn to the right. I think she's jealous of Macri, watching him and his pragmatic image grow and grow. She knows that many that voted for her before are tired of her intellectual speechifying. "People want more governance and less words", she recently said.

But she has never governed anything. A lot of people criticize her because she should have won and governed Buenos Aires city first. She had a very good chance of winning in the capital but she considered it a distraction at that time. Repairing potholes and collecting refuse would have been minor tasks for her. But as I said before, the people want governance, they want solutions to their daily problems. "High politics" is something for the 1970s.

And now she is allied with the conservatives. Prat Gay* would be her economy minister, she's trying to form an alliance with Lopez Murphy**, and also with Macri***. All these alliances are hard to take seriously. I don't know who is the real Carrió any longer; the ultra-moral Catholic martyr or the modern, flexible and pragmatic politician.

I'm going to vote for Pino Solanas.
Firma y sello, El Porteño

* Alfonso Prat Gay (yes, that's his real name) ex JP Morgan analyst, ex-Argentine Central Bank president etc
**Ricardo Lopez-Murphy, ex FinMin, classic right wing conservative
***see prevous porteño post here

Friday, February 13, 2009

From a Porteño viewpoint: El Campo


El Porteño is making a quick return this week. This is good news as far as Otto is concerned because 1) his views are sharp and 2) it means I don't need to think, just translate a few lines and hey presto! decent and original content.

Today's missive from the heart of Buenos Aires concerns "El Campo", which can be translated as "the country / countryside" "the rural area" , "the farmers / farmworkers", "agriculture" etc etc. Before we get to El Porteño's words, I'll add that since last year's successful agro protest campaign against the Klishtina gov't the Campo has continued with its complaints, and as you'll gather from the words underneath the initial support from the general population has been waning significantly.

So on with the show, and here's El Porteño. Enjoy.

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A Short Complaint Against the Campo

It's about time that small rural producers in Argentina realize they are being used by 20 or so large agro players. They send them to picket and strike while the big boys take off to Punta del Este (Ottonote: high-end beach resort in Uruguay) or Europe. The landed families don't even know what work is. They are people that haven't done a day's work in the last 150 years, they just live off their inheritances and lobby the government of the day (if it's friendly) or with the opposition (if not) or with their media buddies. Doesn't anybody realize that it's been this way in Argentina since the 19th century?

Due to the nature of my job I have quite a lot of contact with the 'Campo' and know without a single doubt that the big boys have made piles of money in the last five years. It's got to the point that they have so much ready cash they don't know what to do with it, as its also undeclared (ottonote: known in Spanish as "black") money. With the crisis that's coming they should shut their mouth and get to work. I'm fed up with them, they tire me out. They don't have the support of the population now, either.

We all have our problems, we pay our taxes and we muddle along on our own. They have to change their strategy, as more and more people are getting tired of their discourse. If their accounts don't square they don't sow, and they don't come along later with the argument of how there will be a food shortage, either. The fat cats don't sow and harvest out of love for their country, they only do it because they make a lot of money.

Enough of this hypocrisy. If any other industrial sector goes wrong, the businesspeople are screwed, they lose their investment and have to start over again. Nobody asks the government for help if things go wrong and we all pay our taxes in good times and bad. What's so special about the landed gentry of El Campo?

Firma y sello, El Porteño

Wednesday, February 11, 2009

From a Porteño viewpoint: Macri


It's been a long time, August in fact, since we had one of these. But better late than never, I suppose. The Porteño (resident of Buenos Aires city) in question happens to be a very close friend and we're always passing mails and commenting between ourselves.

So when Porteño (we'll use that moniker) saw the Mauricio Macri video in the preceding post this morning he sent me a mail with his views on Macri and entourage that's well worth putting through the Ottotrans™ and sharing on the blog (permission has been granted). As mentioned already today, Macri is one of these "love him or hate him" characters down there. Enjoy.

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Lord, how these people make me angry. I hate him (Macri). I'd even say that I hate him more than Menem. At least Carlos had charisma. This guy has less charisma than a Korean's fringe (Ottonote; translated directly just for fun. All he's trying to say in a true Porteño tone is that Macri has no personality), he's more boring than De La Rua*. Macri is a total product of political marketing. With some small discourse and big-spending campaign he can even position his friend De Narváez** as a political candidate. The mainstream media fully support him; Clarín, La Nación, TN are always promoting Mauricio Macri and Francisco de Narváez.

Speaking of De Narváez, five or six years ago he bought Juan Perón's personal library and still hasn't read one of the books. He said it himself, no kidding.

But back to Mauricio: I still don't understand how nobody realizes that the guy is a packaged product. But he's also a dangerous package. Up to now all that he's done is:
  • Raised Buenos Aires property taxes an average of 300%
  • Increased road tolls
  • Increased the number of parking meters and their charges
  • Attempted to cut gross salaries.
  • Added stamp duty to house sales
  • Added tax to credit cards
  • Sold construction materials to out-of-city centre residential projects (known as "countrys")
  • Stopped education grants and scholarships
  • Cut health spending
  • Destroyed the Colon Opera House
  • Created a disaster in the hospitals system
  • Sacked local gov't people that protest and ignored the corrupt
  • His government functionaries are resigning en masse
  • His execution of the city budget plans is the worst in 30 years
The saddest thing of all is that he appears in the media six hours a day transmitting an image of direction and management. I'm telling you that even Telerman (Ottonote, the previous mayor of Buenos Aires, known for his relaxed attitude) did more than him. At least Telerman fixed pavements and gave out domestic refuse containers without raising taxes.

I could go on and on about this idiot but I'd get boring. The Duhalde/Macri/De Narvaez association scares me, frankly, but it looks like it's going to be the future.

Firma y sello, El Porteño

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*President at the time of the 2001 crisis. Famous for being dust dry.

**Explanation from Porteño himself: "Francisco de Narváez is a businessman who made his fortune in the 1990s. After the 2002 crisis he started in politics with a discourse based on crime/security. In the same way as Mauricio he spends a lot of money on propaganda and has smart people as political advisors. His slogan is very good; "Knowledge brings safety". Thus he pushes his "grand project, the "safety map". His speeches are aimed at the typical scared middle class."