...........oil, hourly candles.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8ifD0FBgWiCe4rUqRgtmBtckNFBM6RgMw4Sr0tAmkkDFFuNiAcsJttcp5sFzi09BcK00PcPdYy8PdnEF0uD25ec_MHI7nyeBWealVI_juant3DD8lTHdBX2w2jEfiJ-psJuNPp-2FUfr6/s400/oil30ju.png)
The last time we caught up with oil (
a.k.a. the inflation/deflation leading indicator), it has just tumbled from 68.5 to 66.5. Then it just kept a-tumblin' some more, down to $63, but overnight and this morning we've had a bit of a rally.
However that RSI (
and the MACD, for that matter) tell mine eyes and the limited brain behind them that the recovery is too little and too quick. We can see $66 again, but a quick look at the daily candle.....
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEidTpUYqXxUvRuMK9G6u5utL-EdZ8au9gsZR-Tly-UF2H94Aug90hW7fEnGGgMRnaw69vKXqFGcFed99RerGjYkllIZCL3SNg5huvJ20QEr0IgVp_Sb_q8VrOnDDRKDx8_wHpHgWvjYoTxL/s200/oil30jul2.png)
...tells me that downside risk is far higher than anything offered to the upside. Then if you like go check the weekly chart cos that's even scarier. I really should get into this charting; you can interpret anything you want and there's always a great excuse on hand when your call goes wrong...or in other words, gotta DYODD, dude.