Friday, March 26, 2010

Colombia's Presidential Elections: Latest opinion polls

With a deserved hat-tip to Krupa at LatAm Daily (that site is turning out to be a great blog to follow, folks), here's a graphic of the latest voter intention poll out of Colombia:


It seems as though the race is shaping up in the way envisaged in the "Roadmap" article in IKN46 which was also put up here earlier in the week. We even guesstimated that Santos's numbers would float up to around 35% and his main competition would come from SanĂ­n. So that's working out.

FWIW, I'm sticking with the previous bottom line about this election. The Uribe-backed Santos may look like a shoo-in to outside observers but this one is far too close to call right now. The real election begins on May 31st, the day after the first round when the pacts and deals start getting done. This election is likely to go to the wire.