Saturday, June 4, 2011

Peru polls on the day before the election (UPDATED)

Despite their publication in Peru being against the law in the last week of an election, the pollsters have been out and about and telling foreign journalists about their results. These then tell the non-Peru world and..oh my stars! the 21st century world of the interwebnetpipes that news blackout sure works well.

So today pollster Datum has just called Ollanta Humala ahead with 50.8% of valid votes, with Keiko Fujimori on 49.2%, according to Reuters. The poll was taken on June 2nd and third, 5015 people gave their opinions and the margin of error is +/- 1.4%. 

Meanwhile, we're waiting for Peru's most respected pollster Ipsos/Apoyo to give its last poll at 6pm local time (7pm EST), about two hours from now. We hear it will include opinions up to 1pm today, so fresh as a daisy it will be. Your humble scribe will update this post when that report is available.

Update: Big news out of Ipsos/Apoyo this afternoon. Just a couple of minutes ago, Peru's most respected pollster called Ollanta Humala ahead with 51.9% of valid votes and Keiko Fujimori on 48.1%. The poll was taken today, June 4th, from 4000 people and has a margin of error of +/- 1.6%. This means that it's the first time for weeks that Ollanta Humala has shown a polling result that beats out the margin of error. Data from this Reuters news report.