Friday, April 8, 2011

Only in Peru

Just under a week ago I wrote in the subscriber's weekly that a Pedro Pablo Kuczynski 2nd place in this weekend's elections would be a very surprising result, but as Harold Wilson once said, a week is a long time in politics. With this news today that the current governing APRA party is at least some unofficial backing to PPK, he now has a leading chance of beating Keiko Fujimori for the second spot behind Ollanta Humala.

The race really is too close to call for second, but what I will say is that I was wrong to write off PPK's chances last weekend. Also, perhaps the biggest shock of this year's campaign has been the crumbling of support for Alejandro Toledo. Nobody can accuse Peruvian politics of being boring, that's for sure.

Update: Message to subscribers. The details may change and round one is in flux, but the baseline call...the important 100% unaffected.