Colombia: Antana Mockus talks mining
In a reported interview between Colombian presidential candidate (and now favourite for the post) Antanas Mockus and head of Colombia’s export body ANALDEX published Friday 30th , (10) the subject of mining was broached. Here in translation is the section that covered the issue. It should be pointed out here that the word “mineria” (translated here as “mining”) in Colombia is usually used to refer to all non-renewable extraction and therefore the Q&A also applies to the larger and more developed hydrocarbons industry as well. Here’s my translation, more comment afterwards:Javier Díaz: How should we take advantage of the resources that mining is generating (for the State)?
Antanas Mockus: The mining boom is now years old and if we don’t take advantage of it to construct a more sophisticated production base (more added value manufacturers with incorporated know-how) we’re doomed.
JD: The mining boom will affect the foreign exchange rate. That’s where Dutch Disease (ottonote: put roughly this means too much country dependency on one product, but it is more complicated than that) appears.....
AM: That is a risk, but we are currently moving in the right direction. With high-level training programs for Colombians we will avoid wasting the extra resources internally. If this can be done not just with human resources, then even better. Using these extra revenues is good if the spending has a positive effect on the country.
JD: How will you explain to the country that exploring for and knowing how to produce mineral resources is not a sin?
AM: Sergio Fajardo (ottonote: Mockus’s running mate on the ticket) will be one of the people in charge of Science and Technology issues and the adjustment of the educational system towards productive vocations in every region. Some people say the (mining and hydrocarbon) royalties must go towards infrastructure and others say that educational progress should be the main target, because once the mining bonanza has gone we must have much better qualified citizens and the roads can be financed via concessions.
There are countries that use protectionism policies in the fields of research, technology and human resources. Therefore they don’t subsidize exports but make themselves super-competitive for those that need these sectors. In the same way, we must look at which sectors we are going to invest in and the non-approval of the Free Trade Agreement (with the USA) has helped the productive sectors to become more competitive. What’s more, I believe in (country) interdependency, as only the very rich and powerful countries have the luxury of auto-supply. Interdependency also means that any country that breaks off commercial relations with another puts pressure on its neighbours.”
IKN back. This excerpt shows pretty clearly that, whether you agree with his policies or not, Mockus is pragmatic, obviously pro-business and has a well-educated view of economic issues. There are also things such as opposing the current Venezuela trade embargo with Colombia and wanting to use “the mining bonanza” to greater effect on a national level. But there is an implicit message that a Mockus Presidency, as explained in the last two IKN Weeklies, will not be an automatic “anti-mining” agenda even though he is running on a Green Party ticket. He seems to view mining not as an end but rather as a mean to an end, using it to collect revenues in order to further country development from a central treasury. This may eventually lead to higher taxation and royalties but by definition mining will not be banned in the country all of a sudden.
Our bottom line analysis re. a possible Mockus presidency and mining has not changed: There is reason for investors to be cautious about events unfolding in Colombian presidential election because a Green Party candidate is leading the way, and that automatically brings baggage. However there’s no need to panic if you like the sector and you’re long Colombia. Finally, as mentioned previously this author avoids the country for junior mining investments at this time (for reasons previously explained) so any conclusion stays in the world of theory personally.
All the pies! Gone!O'Brien acknowledged that he regularly mocks the actress for her weight issues and showed clips of several jokes to prove it. He got one final insult in ("My penis is not on the Weight Watchers diet--I looked it up. She can have a shake, one slice of wheat bread and then a sensible penis.") before promising to lay off her. Instead he says he'll use Alan Garcia Perez, the heavyset president of Peru, as a punchline for any fat jokes.
No peacemaking for you today, young man.
Why have a photo of one total shit when If Honduras is to grow peacefully out of the morass it now finds itself in and become a stronger nation in the process, the relevant actors must stand down from their calcified positions, letting the law do what it must and do away with the de facto Potemkin democracy. Manuel Zelaya must return to the office he was elected to serve, Micheletti’s Interim Government must be dismantled, and the Armed Forces should guarantee the safety of all, with many of its senior commanders required to retire. Immediately afterward, the Honduran courts ought to protect justice by enforcing the law and impeaching some of their colleagues for breaking it. When Manuel Zelaya is adjudged, he must be given a fair and transparent hearing for the alleged 18 crimes he committed prior to June 28.. But so too should the architects of the coup. Compromise and dialogue are necessities at this point, and they must take place so that the Republic of Honduras can come out of these trying times as a coherent and lawful state and make it to the November 29 elections in one piece.
In a press communique, the US Ambassador in Tegucigalpa, Hugo Llorens, manifested his deep indignation in relation to the unfortunate "disrespectful and racially insensitive" commentaries of Ortez Colindres about President Obama. "These comments were profoundly indignant for the citizens of The United States and for myself personally. I am shocked by these comments which I strongly condemn.
(CNN) -- The Guatemalan government has dismissed allegations that it was behind the death of a lawyer who left a video saying President Alvaro Colom would be to blame if anything happened to him.
The lawyer, Rodrigo Rosenberg, was shot dead Sunday while bicycling in Guatemala City.
A video surfaced Monday in which Rosenberg -- seated behind a desk and speaking into a microphone -- linked Colom and an aide to his death.
"If you are watching this message," Rosenberg says on the video, "it is because I was assassinated by President Alvaro Colom, with help from Gustavo Alejos," the president's private secretary.
It was not immediately known when Rosenberg made the video. It turned up Monday after his funeral and was posted on YouTube and distributed to other media outlets by the newspaper El Periodico de Guatemala.
The government promptly responded, rejecting the assertions and saying they were meant to create "political chaos."
CONTINUES HERE
It was a normal kind of LatAm campaign
"I've disguised it as a string of garlic. They'll never know"
He's 82 years old, he's the father of six children and he's also the greatest modern-day President of Argentina (you can tell it's true when Peronists line up to praise a Radical) and one of the greatest Latin American presidents in my lifetime. The man is the epitome of democracy, but right now he has pneumonia. Not a good thing for a man who underwent an operation last year to remove a (benign) tumour from his lung.
Wow, eleven replies to last night's question! Not bad in such a short space of time. And even better is that nine of you got the answer right. The correct answer is that:
Pretty simple, really. We down here just hope that he doesn't screw up US/LatAm relations like the last guy did. Mind you, that's was the general thought when Dubya replaced Clinton, and when Clinton replaced Bush Sr., and when Bush Sr. replaced Gipper. Et cetera, et cetera, et cetera
In my opinion, Yang Jiechi has good taste in 
George Salamis
An Interview with George Salamis, President of Rusoro Mining (RML.v)
Mickey Fulp is a very connected guy. Thanks to The Mercenary Geologist (check out his website here) your humble correspondent recently got in touch with Mickey's friend George Salamis, the President of Rusoro Mining (RML.v). After some banter about how I didn't seem to like RML.v so much, I asked Mr. Salamis (I called him Mr. Salamis...kept it all formal y'know) if he'd be good to answer a few questions.
"Sure!", he said "ask me anything you like!".
"What, on the record?", I asked.
"Yep...anything you like. On the record, no problem."
Well an offer like that doesn't come around every day, so I did just that and here below is the resulting long interview. I hope you enjoy. Otto.
PS, if you want to know what "salami" means in Spanish slang, drop me a line.
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Otto: Hello, Mr. Salamis and thanks for agreeing to do this interview.
George Salamis: Hi Otto, thanks for inviting me to a chat on Inca Kola News. I have been reading it with interest for a few months now.
Otto: So on with the show. Can you tell us a bit about your background as a miner and how you became President of Rusoro?
GS: Well to use an over-used cliché, I guess mining is in my blood. My Father is an accomplished mining engineer and prospector who worked extensively overseas in mine development, often dragging us with him to live in some fairly exotic and remote places. Central America, Africa, Northern Quebec, you name it. Rock and mineral “pop-quizzes” were part of everyday life in our household.
Much to my Mother’s alarm I chose a life in mining as well, graduating as a Geologist in 1989 and going on to work overseas for the likes of Placer Dome, Cameco and others. In 1999, feeling a desire to unleash that pent-up inner entrepreneur, I made the leap from major mining companies to junior mining and have never looked back. Its been great fun and I’ve had the chance to be part of some great mineral discoveries, been part of advancing some great deposits into production and have been involved in some successful M&A transactions – some friendly, others not so friendly.
How did I get involved with Rusoro as President? Well, in mid
Roll the clock forward to 2007; when asked to consider the Rusoro posting I did a lot of due diligence on the Company, the Agapovs and their track record in Venezuela, Rusoro’s in-country management ability, etc. and quickly concluded that if any outfit had a remote chance of working through the bureaucracy, it was Rusoro. They had a track-record of success and if anyone had a valid shot at gold mining in Venezuela, and working cooperatively with the Venezuelan government, it was (and still is) the Agapov’s.
And Otto, “yes”, as you have rightly pointed out on your Blog in the past, the family name "Salamis” does attract the odd snicker down in South America. I tell you, it’s a great ice-breaker when meeting a Venezuelan government person for the first time!
Otto: Ok, so now can you tell us something about the background of your boss, André Agapov? I’m asking you this because on the gossip mill circuit you hear all sorts of things about the Agapovs, both father and son. Can you tell us more about their background and how they’ve become gold miners in Venezuela, maybe laying to rest a few of the rumors along the way?
GS: Here's what I know about them after becoming close friends and working colleagues with both father and son and have confirmed from them personally, corroborated by those who know and have worked for them in the past, etc. Vladimir Agapov, our Chairman, is an aeronautical engineer by training and used to run Aeroflot's North American operations in the bad old days of the Cold War (1980's and early 90's). Based in Montreal, he fought hard to keep Aeroflot’s transatlantic flight routes open in the face of some fairly serious sanctions that were on the go at the time against Mother Russia. This was not exactly a cushy job. Montreal: nice place, however think Siberia in winter, with OK baguettes, good beer and great hockey. In spite of the obstacles Vladimir kept the flight routes open and his planes fueled, even when they didn’t want to sell him fuel for his fleet of Ilyushin’s. A true story of perseverance in my view.
Son André was sent from Montreal to Moscow to school in aeronautical engineering, following in his.
On one of our first encounters, André shared a story with me about how he had spent days and sweated off many kilos of weight in the jungle looking for the original late 1800’s, British constructed mine shaft accesses in El Callao (next door to our Choco 10 Mine). Decades earlier, as a field geologist, I had spent some time looking around for those same old gold workings and shafts. I knew what he was talking about and said to myself “how many CEO’s do you know of who actually spend time in a jungle doing this sort of thing?”. At that moment, I was sold.
I’d like to dispel another popular misconception regarding the Agapovs. They were not given the “silver spoon treatment” in Russia like many of the oligarchs in Russia when the iron curtain fell. They are, in fact, not oligarchs at all. They are simply hard working and serious businessmen with a desire to build mines in Venezuela. Their success has come as a result of hard work and perseverance, a common theme in everything they have done. Ok Otto? So you can put away the John Le Carre novels and toss aside that copy of “Eastern Promises” that you got for Christmas! Does not apply here.
Otto: Wow, that’s a lot of background. So what’s the bottom line here with the Agapovs?
Seriously, if I have to sum up the situation with the Agapovs and the Venezuelan government I’d have to say that they have solidly won the trust of the government, at all levels, because of their history of delivering on promises. Do they benefit from the recently accelerated cooperation between the Russian and Venezuelan governments? Absolutely. However their reputation was solid before the Kremlin ever started sending their sailors to
Otto: So let’s talk a little about the company, Rusoro (RML.v). What has happened to RML.v in 2008 and where does it stand as a producing miner today?
GS: 2008 was a hugely important year for Rusoro. It marked a major turning point for the Company and its investors, in terms our transformation from explorer and developer to gold producer. We’ve successfully turned around not just one struggling mining operation after we bought it, but two separate mines in less than 12 months. None of this was easy and we did hit a few speed-bumps along the way in terms of production cost blow-outs which are now behind us. Our last few months of production numbers have hit record levels, November alone was
Alongside all of this work of successfully turning around a few failing or problem plagued mines, we’ve also been very busy building two new mining operations, San Raphael-El Placer and Increible 6. Both are expected to come on-line in 2009 giving us a further significant bump in our production.
Otto: On the subject of social and work relations, there were news reports about a land invasion by locals on to your Choco IV property just before Christmas that was affecting production. Can you bring us up to date on the situation there?
GS: I wouldn’t necessarily call a few dozen or so small miners moving into an area of Choco 4 to earn a bit of pre-Christmas pocket money a “land invasion”. This sort of thing happens all the time down in Bolivar. Not a material event, not newsworthy especially when compared to the thousands of small miners that have overrun the Km88 area in the past.
The best way to ensure that land invasions of any sort don’t occur is to give these small miners permanent employment and job skills which is something that we do at our mines in the El Callao and El Dorado areas, employing over 1000 people. However, this is something that has been sorely lacking in Km88 and deserves to be fixed. The locals are tired of waiting for something to happen, perhaps even more so than the Gold Reserve investors. This is a situation that we think we can resolve quickly to everyone’s benefit.
Otto: Rusoro of today is all very well, but in the last month the company has been making headlines with its move to buy out Gold Reserve (GRZ). So the question here is more about the Rusoro of tomorrow. What’s your vision for RML.v going forward, Mr. Salamis and how do the GRZ assets fit in?
GS: Shareholders in the gold sector have been ill-served by excessive turf battles for as long as you and I can likely remember. The starkest testament to this folly, especially for those who worked in the mining sector through the 1980’s and 90’s in Canada, is the three shafts sunk into the Hemlo orebody; three companies couldn't find a way to work together and shareholders paid the price. Some strange mix of ego and greed. You don't see this nearly as much in the oil patch, in passing.
It makes eminent sense to put these two companies together. The potential for operational rationalization is obvious. I also believe we could make a contribution towards moving Brisas forward. The project is world class and an excellent compliment to our existing assets in Venezuela. It deserves to move forward. We think we can help here.
I want to say at this juncture that we made determined efforts to do this in a friendly way. Several times during my tenure and, from what I understand, a few occasions before my time. The last thing we wanted was a bun fight. Unfortunately, the management at GRZ did not see things the same way. Now it us up to us to earn the trust of GRZ shareholders. They, the GRZ shareholders, have sunk a lot of money and time and effort into the venture. We firmly believe it makes a lot of sense to combine forces and just get it done. We just as firmly believe we can help and we hope and expect the shareholders will come to view things likewise. There is a huge opportunity to build something here. That's the 30 second soapbox appeal.
Otto: Many Venezuelan mining market watchers have noted the way Rusoro seems to get the permits it needs to operate from the Venezuelan government fairly easily while at the same time companies such as Gold Reserve and Crystallex have languished for quite literally years while waiting for the paperwork to go their way. Why do you think that is so, Mr. Salamis?
GS: Well, I can't speak to the particular situations of GRZ and/or Crystallex; I haven't been privy to the correspondence. But I acknowledge it's been a dreadful trip for most investors in Venezuela’s gold sector. For an exploration destination so endowed as Venezuela, surely there's a way for investors to see a return. A strategy that’s neat and tidy, one that “de-risks” the place in the eyes of the investors. Now there’s an idea!
As for ourselves, speaking very generally, I think cultural affinities have something to do with the way we're seen and accepted. People have a natural tendency to do business with people they feel comfortable with. And so far we feel there is a fairly high degree of mutual comfort between ourselves and the various permitting authorities, the government, etc.
I should also add that we are not unique in this respect. Before us, Gold Fields was also welcomed in-country. Why would that be? Recent South African history helps shed light here. The Company (GFI) had demonstrated its willingness to work with constituencies traditionally left out of the decision making process and was, more generally, alert to sensitivities in-country. This sort of thing makes a difference.
So Rusoro is not unique and there is nothing magical about our success at getting projects moving down there. When in Rome, as the saying goes, do as the Romans would do. And that's what we try to do. So far, so good.
Another question that has come up frequently in conversations over the last few weeks is how we are going to finance Brisas. We shall cross that bridge when we get to it. What is clear from this vantage point, however, is that is will be a lot easier to finance a land position under management with a proven track record in working successfully with relevant permitting authorities than it will be to finance a land position under management with a proven track record of working quite unsuccessfully with relevant permitting authorities. That's what we know right now.
And done correctly, it's an attractive proposition. If we can marry big ounces with a viable framework, that is a framework that gives comfort and confidence that the ounces will in fact get developed, and we think we can, well, that's a nice meal for investors and solves the environmental woes caused by the small miners and rampant unemployment that’s plagued that area for decades. How many gold ore bodies with seven digits of metal are left out there, besides those in Km88 and the ones Rusoro already owns to the northwest in El Callao and El Dorado?
Besides, it not as though there's no bad news in our share price already, yes? The markets could triple and the shares would still trade as though we killed our grandmothers. So some constructive developments on the ground against a backdrop of shares that are already priced for nuclear winter make us think we won't have a problem raising money, debt or equity, and on favorable terms at that. With the government on-side and a partner with some skin in the game, plus our track record of production, one would think that raising debt would be feasible.
Otto: One of the things investors and potential investors always want to know about Venezuela is what it’s really like working there. Is the bureaucracy as difficult as people make it our to be? Is the country so socialist in nature that it’s difficult to make a capitalist-style profit? How do you see political risk going forward? What insights can you give us about doing business in the country?
GS: I wish that I could paint a tremendously rosy picture about operating in Venezuela, this isn’t so. Building and operating mines in Venezuela is not for the faint of heart nor the impatient. Importing equipment and spare parts into the country is doable but slow, as we witnessed during the summer of 2008 causing us a bit of a cost blow-out. That’s when the new haulage fleet that we ordered didn’t exactly show up on time and equipment availabilities were fairly dismal over those months. The bureaucracy is problematic at times and the time factor involved in dealing with this bureaucracy must be built into everything we do when we make plans down there. However, we manage and have succeeded in working within the framework of Venezuela’s socialist development agenda and bureaucracy. And in the last few months we have done so very profitably. In reality these types of issues are not unique to Venezuela in Latin America or other mining regions in less developed countries around the world.
The perception of political risk, for us, resides only in the market and is obviously impacting our share price and that of Crystallex and Gold Reserve, equally. Resolving the Km88 situation in a positive way, having the projects move forward with the Government’s involvement and blessing, would go a long way to lifting the black cloud that has plagued the market’s perception of an incredible gold deposit in what is geologically a world class environment for gold.
Otto: One issue that concerns me about miners in Venezuela can be summed up in the quick phrase “dollars in dollars out.” By dollars in I mean the difficulty many companies have in accessing the official VEF2.15-to-USD1 exchange rate via the government CADIVI body. The result is they have to buy their currency on the more expensive parallel market. The dollars out part refers to the possible hitches you as a gold miner might have in obtaining the full market price for your metal on the world market. Does Rusoro suffer from either “dollar in” or “dollar out” problem, and if so how much of a problem is it for you?
GS: The system in Venezuela is actually beneficial for companies who are able to exchange currency through official channels thereby effectively covering those costs associated with the milling and mining operations paid in local currency.
All gold is sold based on the daily world spot price for gold. We are subject to all applicable taxes and sales charges as in any other country and some of those are recoverable. As for the movement of currency out of the country, mechanisms exist and are in place to allow the transfer of funds out of the country. Like us, many significant foreign companies in many industries use these mechanisms on a regular basis.
You mentioned CADIVI; however sluggish this system might be CADIVI is a huge benefit to us in terms of using in-country exchange rates to benefit the low-cost purchase and importation of goods that cannot be manufactured or bought in Venezuela. Do we suffer at all from “dollar in and “dollar out” problems? No.
Otto: I’ve mentioned my doubts about Rusoro as an investment several times on this blog. In fact, one of the things you and I talked about before you kindly agreed to do this interview was how you’d like to convince me that I’m wrong about my “avoid” call on Rusoro. So here’s your chance, Mr. Salamis! I’m a doubter, make me a believer. Why is Rusoro a good investment today?
GS: Yes Otto, well I’m still debating whether I include you on my Christmas card list or not for being such a pessimist. Essentially you have a company with an exceptional production growth profile, having grown from no production to producing at an annualized rate 150,000/yr in two years. Upon the completion of the current studies for production expansion at the Choco 10 mine and mill, Rusoro foresees this number more than tripling in the future. In the last 12 months the Company has acquired two mines that were struggling in terms of labor issues and in the case of the Choco Mill efficiency issues and turned them around to the point where not only are labor and the Unions happy, but the mill will operate in positive cash flow for the first full quarter in Q4 of 2008 with cash costs well under $400/oz Au. All good.
Add to this that the company will bring two additional mines on stream in late 2009 or early 2010 which will likely add approximately 100,000oz/yr Au in the near term and you get a feel for the production growth profile near and mid term. Longer term Rusoro will continue its exploration and asset consolidation efforts in this enormously gold rich region, hopefully with Brisas as the next addition.
Without the political risk that has plagued us in the market, where should the company trade? You can decide this based on you own comparative analysis, but the answer is certainly higher. We feel we are making headway on the extent of the perceived political risk by embracing the JV model preferred by the Venezuelan Government. Resolving the Brisas situation goes a long way down the track of “de-risking” Venezuela in the eyes of the investment community. We now have several JVs with the Government, the most significant being at the Isidora Mine. In our minds the best way to significantly lessen the perceived risk moving forward is to lift the black cloud that is Km88 and in the last month we have become proactive on that front, rather than sitting back to watch the situation worsen.
Certainly the quality of Rusoro’s assets are not fully realized in the market. If you are an investor who likes to rely on underlying fundamentals and growth potential you have a company whose fundamentals are improving on a monthly basis and that has a production growth profile and resource portfolio which leads its peer group. We are certainly not a one-asset Company. For speculators who wonder “what if” concerning the Km88 region you have a company, Rusoro, that is committed to consolidating a world class gold region and that has had success so far in doing just that.
You are essentially asking me how you can eliminate the political risk for you and the truth is you can’t completely eliminate it in any developing region in the world. We do believe however, that we are on the road to significantly lowering it and I can best sum up where the Company is at as follows; Rusoro is a company with exceptional production and growth prospects, with improving fundamentals and significant blue sky in partnership with the ultimate decision maker in the region.
Otto: You sure can. Thanks again for agreeing to do this interview with IncaKolaNews, Mr. Salamis. Are there any final words you like to say to our audience?
GS: Enough said for now, Otto. Many thanks for letting me bend your ear!
Otto: Thank you.
