Thursday, September 25, 2008

Party time in Ecuador

This one is for Bina...swoon it girl!

Right now the world's media is descending on Quito to cover the big bad constitutional referendum that's happening this Sunday, September 28th. Well...ok...maybe a dozen journalists are making ther trip, but no matter...it's the thought that counts (and let's see if they can string two or three lucid ones together on LatAm affairs for a change). So I thought scoop 'em all and mark your card with the most important stuff before the pro-hacks file copy for tomorrow's edition.

1. "Yes" will win. Bet the farm on it. No point adding a thousand extra words here. Obvious is as obvious does.

2. Important news: Boz and I have a side bet going. For those who don't know, boz is a popular blogger on Latam affairs, you can find his site right here, and you'll be happy to know that unlike Otto he actually lets his readership comment freely (obviously hasn't learned just how much fun dictatorship is yet). Anyway, boz says the pro-Studmuffin "Yes" vote gets less than 60% total, I say it gets over 60%. In play are bragging rights and a $10 donation to charity made by the loser (though the winner will probably end up donating too).

3. Opinion polls have been banned for the last three weeks, but a poll out this week that closely tracks the referendum puts Studmuffin's popularity at a near all-time high. Here's the link to that. Tremble, boz ;-)

4. The Muffin Man has also arranged a neat looking victory party for Sunday evening and has invited Chávez and The Village People along. Here's a snap taken at the Dress Rehearsal today.

Photo courtesy of the incredible blog 'el chiguire bipolar'

5. Once this is all over, our raving capitalist observers from Canada will finally get their wish and see the official published New Mining Law, due out October. With that in mind, it's time to buy a chunk of CTQ methinks (and I have to say it's been strong as an ox all week. Nobody selling that paper).

6. Nearly forgot to mention; for good quality coverage of the referendum in English, I recommend Stephan Kueffner at Bloomberg and Alonso Soto at Reuters. Both know their territory well and are fair voices.