Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Trading Post (hangin' tough edition)


Spot copper is hanging tough
at 3.10 to 3.13, and I'm along for the ride.

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Until it makes its definitive move (be it up or down), consider me a rabbit trapped in its headlights. Gold sinking may pull it down to the point that I bail on my underwater positions. We shall see. I moved over from GLD to SLV as planned this morning (check the gold:silver ratio post to find out why).

Cosan (CZZ) has been murdered these last few days, even by Brazil stock standards. The combo of the downturn, its expansion program timed to imperfection and the bad sugar crop news from the South of Brazil has made mincemeat of this stock. It's down hard again today.

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CZZ is one I follow quite closely, and have been known to move in and out of on a short term basis. Certainly cheap now, but no trying to catch falling knives right now, please...just put it on your radar.

Fortuna Silver (FVI.v) now at $0.76. Uff, how i suffer in this stock (for this stock?). I repeat; this company has 50 cents of cash per share. I repeat; it is so cheap it's laughable. I repeat; FVI advertises here and I'm long and DYODD.

If FVI.v is the baby, Colossus Minerals (CSI.to) is the bathwater. This is what the stock has done since Patrick "adding value" Anderson joined the BoD (as mentioned here and here at the time).

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I'm reminded of Radiohead: "Karma police arrest this man, he talks in maths he buzzes like a fridge, he's like a de-tuned radio."

UPDATE: Forgot to mention it again. The USD index is now at 80, and main man Gary at biiwii has consistently called the index as going to 80/81 as if drawn by a magnet. A direct cause-effect, gold now $759/oz. Tin foil hat heaven!

Thinking about it, copper's continued resistence at 3.10 really is quite impressive under the circumstances. Now $3.13, and still bouncing round that 3.10 to 3.13 range. I'm ever more convicned that Dr. Copper and the way he breaks will define the whole ball game from here....we wait....we watch.