Tuesday, September 9, 2008

South America World Cup futbol Qualifiers: results and next round


First, the result from the weekend's matches, and then the bets for the midweek round eight.

Yet again I prove to the world that I suck at betting. My bets were:

$45.58 on Chile to win (3/1)
$15 on Uruguay to win (11/4)

As for the results, Uruguay won 1-0 and made me money, but Brazil whupped Chile's trasero 3-0 and so I only get paid on my minor bet. This leaves me just $56.25 from my original $100 bankroll (a couple of rounds ago) to play with. Safe to say the bookmakers are not exactly tremblin' with fear about this series of posts.

But hope springs eternal, and here are the round 8 matches that are played tomorrow. Underneath my selections. Prices come from skybet dot com (for those not used to the UK oddsmaking system see the bottom of the previous post here)

Paraguay 4/11.... draw 3/1.... Venezuela 8/1
Brazil 1/9 ....draw 11/2.... Bolivia 20/1
Peru 9/2.... draw 5/2.... Argentina 4/7
Uruguay 8/15.... draw 12/5 ....Ecuador 11/2
Chile 5/6 ....draw 9/4 ....Colombia 3/1

The one compelling bet here is Chile at 5/6. Sure they lost at home over the weekend, but Brazil as a team finally decided to wake up, and when that happens they can make the best team in the world look ordinary. Chile is a good team, be sure about that. Also, Colombia haven't impressed much. I'm going to make this into a win double and add Brazil to win at 1/9. The odds are tiny, of course, but this is as close to an absolute certainty as is possible in futbol. Therefore the bet is:

$56.25 win double on Chile 5/6 and Brazil 1/9

For what it's worth, if the bet comes in my hypothetical bankroll will stand at $114.58.

Game on!